Juanpi

32 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also RW) · Venezuela
Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos · Super League 1 · Foot: left · Height: 176 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€350k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€84k – €349k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€189k – €510k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€109k – €320k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€160k – €426k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€84k – €349k
Model value (performance-implied)€189k – €510k
Projected value (24 months)€109k – €320k
Dashed line: current market value (€350k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Juanpi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.05x the positional average in the league (1725 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 68

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average20.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €178k vs market €350k
Expected appreciationVery low-40% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1725 (74% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.21
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.42
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
20 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1129
Opponent strength
1260
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€109k – €320k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -53% to -22%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1725 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
14 (MID)
Relative output kept
67%–189%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
64%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Volou Neos Podosferikos SyllogosSuper League 1AM23172574%400.210.42126011290.43
2024/25Volou Neos Podosferikos SyllogosSuper League 1AM540817%110.440.59125010690.35
2023/24Panetolikos AgrinioSuper League 1AM23135158%040.270.46124411470.42
2022/23Panetolikos AgrinioSuper League 1AM31607%000.000.37120911640.37
2018/19SD HuescaLaligaRW1467220%220.540.67156314101.14
2017/18Málaga CFLaligaAM1660418%020.300.45157413551.11
2016/17Málaga CFLaligaAM22147443%200.120.23156715161.11
2015/16Málaga CFLaligaRW29161147%420.340.41157715361.17
2014/15Málaga CFLaligaAM52036%000.000.56173514971.18

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasVolou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos319300—
2023/24Kypello ElladasPanetolikos Agrinio424210—
2018/19Copa Del ReyMálaga CF16800—
2017/18Copa Del ReyMálaga CF19000—
2016/17Copa Del ReyMálaga CF213800—
2015/16Copa Del ReyMálaga CF17200—
2014/15Copa Del ReyMálaga CF536511—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Aymen Tahar
Super League 1 · 2020
31€250k€250kflat
Jorge Díaz
Super League 1 · 2023
34€200k€150kfell
Adnan Aganovic
Super League 1 · 2018
31€400k€200kfell
Sean Kelly
Scottish Premiership · 2023
30€400k€100kfell
Vladyslav Klymenko
Premier Liga · 2023
29€400k€300kfell
Sotiris Balafas
Super League 1 · 2017
31€400k€300kfell
Martin Spelmann
Superliga · 2017
30€400k€350kflat
Leozinho
Super League 1 · 2017
32€400k€150kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026Volos NFCLD AlajuelenseFree / loan€350k
3 Feb 2025Caracas FCVolos NFCFree / loan€500k
13 Sept 2024Without ClubCaracas FCUnknown€450k
1 Jul 2024PanetolikosWithout ClubUnknown€450k
31 Jan 2023Caracas FCPanetolikosFree / loan€550k
22 Jun 2022Without ClubCaracas FCUnknown€500k
1 Jan 2022Al-AinWithout ClubUnknown€500k
10 Oct 2020Málaga CFAl-AinFree / loan€800k
30 Jun 2019SD HuescaMálaga CFFree / loan€2.0M
31 Jan 2019Málaga CFSD HuescaFree / loan€1.5M
1 Jul 2014Atl. MalagueñoMálaga CFUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Málaga U19Atl. MalagueñoUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Juanpi · MoneyballAI