Davide Calabria

The model rates Davide Calabria's performance-implied value at EUR 2.0M-5.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-4.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-3.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1581 (68% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.34

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.20

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

68 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.42 (rank 16)

Team strength (Elo)

1465

Opponent strength

1239

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.4M – €3.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 40 pts; changed club; team strength down (-116 Elo); league level down (-223 Elo); relative output up 117% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -49% to +0%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1581 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

25 (DEF)

Relative output kept

55%–230%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

68%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.