Victor Edvardsen

30 yrs · Striker · Sweden
Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€800k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€264k – €815k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€416k – €1.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€323k – €626k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€400k – €804k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€264k – €815k
Model value (performance-implied)€416k – €1.1M
Projected value (24 months)€323k – €626k
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Victor Edvardsen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.92x the positional average in the league (1998 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 67

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average23.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €408k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationVery low-41% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.8M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1998 (65% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.49
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.47
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
24 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1245
Opponent strength
1293
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€323k – €626k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 25 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -56% to -15%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (ATT)
Relative output kept
73%–122%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
61%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieST26199865%470.500.47129312450.43
2024/25Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieST34275290%860.460.52130312970.50
2023/24Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieST32183260%610.340.42136212540.48

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueGo Ahead Eagles5302001442
2025/26Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles219502—
2025/26Johan Cruijff SchaalGo Ahead Eagles190001632
2024/25Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles437110—
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingGo Ahead Eagles2180001334
2023/24Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles317711—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ali Sowe
Super Lig · 2024
30€1.7M€1.5Mflat
Jakob Ankersen
Superliga · 2020
30€475k€400kflat
Erik Jendrisek
Super League 1 · 2019
33€500k€200kfell
Amilton
Super Lig · 2020
31€600k€750krose
Mike Havenaar
Eredivisie · 2017
30€1.5M€750kfell
John Sutton
Scottish Premiership · 2015
32€500k€300kfell
Nicolas Diguiny
Super League 1 · 2020
32€550k€250kfell
Mats Seuntjens
Eredivisie · 2024
32€850k€275kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023DjurgårdenGo Ahead Eagles€700k€1.2M
8 Jan 2022DegerforsDjurgården€700k€1.0M
15 Jan 2020Karlstad BKDegerforsFree / loanData unavailable
9 Feb 2018IK OddevoldKarlstad BKFree / loan€75k
1 Jan 2017Stenungsunds IFIK OddevoldFree / loan€75k
19 Jul 2016ElverumStenungsunds IFFree / loan€75k
11 Mar 2016IFK U19ElverumFree / loan€75k
30 Nov 2015Utsiktens BKIFK U19Free / loan€75k
15 Jul 2015IFK U19Utsiktens BKFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2013IFK U17IFK U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Victor Edvardsen · MoneyballAI