
Victor Edvardsen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Victor Edvardsen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.92x the positional average in the league (1998 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 67
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €408k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -41% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1998 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.49
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.47
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 24 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1245
- Opponent strength
- 1293
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €323k – €626k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 25 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -56% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | ST | 26 | 1998 | 65% | 4 | 7 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 1293 | 1245 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | ST | 34 | 2752 | 90% | 8 | 6 | 0.46 | 0.52 | 1303 | 1297 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | ST | 32 | 1832 | 60% | 6 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 1362 | 1254 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | 302 | 0 | 0 | 1442 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 195 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1632 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | 371 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1334 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 177 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Sowe Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €1.7M | €1.5M | flat |
| Jakob Ankersen Superliga · 2020 | 30 | €475k | €400k | flat |
| Erik Jendrisek Super League 1 · 2019 | 33 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Amilton Super Lig · 2020 | 31 | €600k | €750k | rose |
| Mike Havenaar Eredivisie · 2017 | 30 | €1.5M | €750k | fell |
| John Sutton Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 32 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Nicolas Diguiny Super League 1 · 2020 | 32 | €550k | €250k | fell |
| Mats Seuntjens Eredivisie · 2024 | 32 | €850k | €275k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Djurgården | Go Ahead Eagles | €700k | €1.2M |
| 8 Jan 2022 | Degerfors | Djurgården | €700k | €1.0M |
| 15 Jan 2020 | Karlstad BK | Degerfors | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 9 Feb 2018 | IK Oddevold | Karlstad BK | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Stenungsunds IF | IK Oddevold | Free / loan | €75k |
| 19 Jul 2016 | Elverum | Stenungsunds IF | Free / loan | €75k |
| 11 Mar 2016 | IFK U19 | Elverum | Free / loan | €75k |
| 30 Nov 2015 | Utsiktens BK | IFK U19 | Free / loan | €75k |
| 15 Jul 2015 | IFK U19 | Utsiktens BK | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2013 | IFK U17 | IFK U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.