Cammy Kerr

31 yrs · Right-back (also RM) · Scotland
Livingston FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 May 2027
Market value
€75k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€28k – €91k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€116k – €333k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€61k – €119k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€25k – €306k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€28k – €91k
Model value (performance-implied)€116k – €333k
Projected value (24 months)€61k – €119k
Dashed line: current market value (€75k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Cammy Kerr's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (451 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average0th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €37k vs market €75k
Expected appreciationHigh+19% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €450k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
451 (15% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.20
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
0 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
981
Opponent strength
1246
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€61k – €119k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -42% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 451 league minutes last season.
  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
10 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–107%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
80%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Livingston FCScottish PremiershipRM745115%000.000.2012469810.31
2023/24Dundee FCScottish PremiershipRB1049717%000.000.17142011530.34
2021/22Dundee FCScottish PremiershipRB30269691%020.070.09132611240.50
2018/19Dundee FCScottish PremiershipRB23198867%000.000.06132510780.44
2017/18Dundee FCScottish PremiershipRB27203168%010.040.06127211600.47
2016/17Dundee FCScottish PremiershipRB36314392%140.140.14129111750.48
2015/16Dundee FCScottish PremiershipRM1068320%000.000.14130012410.44
2014/15Dundee FCScottish PremiershipRB2953%000.000.11122911820.41

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Scottish Fa CupQueen's Park FC112000—
2023/24Scottish Fa CupInverness Caledonian Thistle FC19000—
2021/22Scottish Fa CupDundee FC327000—
2018/19Scottish Fa CupDundee FC218000—
2017/18Scottish Fa CupDundee FC327000—
2016/17Scottish Fa CupDundee FC19000—
2015/16Scottish Fa CupDundee FC12200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
David Carson
Scottish Premiership · 2024
29€250k€250kflat
Vitaliy Grusha
Premier Liga · 2024
30€250k€250kflat
Michal Skvarka
Super League 1 · 2023
31€300k€300kflat
Bogdan Myshenko
Premier Liga · 2023
29€200k€200kflat
Bugra Cagiran
Super Lig · 2022
27€200k€250krose
Blair Alston
Scottish Premiership · 2023
31€325k€200kfell
Matías Defederico
Super League 1 · 2019
30€200k€75kfell
Hasan Ayaroglu
Super Lig · 2021
26€200k€100kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025Queen's ParkLivingston FCFree / loan€150k
16 Jul 2024Dundee FCQueen's ParkUnknown€325k
1 May 2024Inverness CTDundee FCFree / loan€325k
25 Jan 2024Dundee FCInverness CTFree / loan€325k
25 Dec 2015PeterheadDundee FCFree / loan€25k
21 Aug 2015Dundee FCPeterheadFree / loan€25k
5 May 2015PeterheadDundee FCFree / loan€25k
6 Nov 2014Dundee FCPeterheadFree / loan€25k
1 Jul 2014Dundee FC U20Dundee FCUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Dundee U17Dundee FC U20UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.