Andrei Ivan
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Andrei Ivan's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (1506 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 80
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 14.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €273k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1506 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.46
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 14 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 23)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1104
- Opponent strength
- 1244
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €341k – €652k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -58% to -1%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1506 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panserraikos Serres | Super League 1 | ST | 21 | 1506 | 64% | 3 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.46 | 1244 | 1104 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | ST | 7 | 28 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 1449 | 1522 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panserraikos Serres | 1 | 82 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 1380 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Rapid Vienna | 7 | 485 | 0 | 0 | 1545 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Rapid Vienna | 4 | 145 | 0 | 1 | 1446 |
| 2017/18 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 32 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 1420 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonis Petropoulos Super League 1 · 2015 | 29 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Adrián Sardinero Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €600k | €100k | fell |
| Juan Manuel García Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €700k | €175k | fell |
| Ricardo Gomes Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €1.6M | €5.0M | rose |
| Craig Curran Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 29 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| David Karaev Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| Vasyl Pynyashko Premier Liga · 2021 | 29 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Pedro Henrique Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €1.2M | €2.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | Univ. Craiova | Panserraikos | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Adanaspor | Univ. Craiova | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 13 Jan 2025 | Univ. Craiova | Adanaspor | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 27 Aug 2019 | Krasnodar | Univ. Craiova | €1.5M | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Rapid Vienna | Krasnodar | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Krasnodar | Rapid Vienna | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 17 Jul 2017 | Univ. Craiova | Krasnodar | €3.0M | €1.8M |
| 30 Dec 2013 | Sp. Pitesti | Univ. Craiova | €400k | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.