Henk Veerman
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Henk Veerman's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (1696 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €92k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1696 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.49
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1101
- Opponent strength
- 1315
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €98k – €255k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -65% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1696 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Volendam | Eredivisie | ST | 24 | 1696 | 55% | 4 | 1 | 0.27 | 0.49 | 1315 | 1101 | 0.43 |
| 2022/23 | FC Volendam | Eredivisie | ST | 29 | 1327 | 43% | 4 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.59 | 1377 | 1213 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | ST | 20 | 1558 | 51% | 7 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.52 | 1344 | 1287 | 0.60 |
| 2021/22 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | ST | 8 | 411 | 13% | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.34 | 1279 | 1358 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | ST | 31 | 2637 | 86% | 14 | 6 | 0.68 | 0.62 | 1357 | 1271 | 0.56 |
| 2017/18 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | ST | 31 | 955 | 31% | 4 | 2 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 1312 | 1317 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | ST | 23 | 400 | 13% | 5 | 0 | 1.13 | 0.65 | 1321 | 1266 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | ST | 26 | 1352 | 44% | 6 | 3 | 0.60 | 0.54 | 1319 | 1312 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | ST | 14 | 353 | 12% | 2 | 3 | 1.27 | 0.59 | 1340 | 1367 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Volendam | 2 | 80 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Volendam | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 3 | 270 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 2 | 51 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 3 | 157 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | FC Volendam | 3 | 220 | 3 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adis Jahovic Super Lig · 2022 | 35 | €275k | €25k | fell |
| Denys Kozhanov Premier Liga · 2021 | 34 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Michiel Kramer Eredivisie · 2024 | 36 | €275k | €100k | fell |
| Ilhan Parlak Super Lig · 2020 | 33 | €250k | €75k | fell |
| Igor Super League 1 · 2016 | 36 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Kris Boyd Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 33 | €350k | €400k | flat |
| Robert Mühren Eredivisie · 2024 | 35 | €300k | €125k | fell |
| Javier Cámpora Super League 1 · 2015 | 35 | €250k | €250k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | ADO Den Haag | FC Volendam | Free / loan | €450k |
| 31 Jul 2023 | FC Volendam | ADO Den Haag | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 Jul 2022 | Utrecht | FC Volendam | Unknown | €900k |
| 26 Jan 2022 | Heerenveen | Utrecht | €300k | €900k |
| 28 Aug 2020 | St. Pauli | Heerenveen | €1.5M | €800k |
| 9 Aug 2018 | Heerenveen | St. Pauli | €500k | €1.0M |
| 2 Feb 2015 | FC Volendam | Heerenveen | €350k | €125k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Volendam U21 | FC Volendam | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | RKAV Volendam | Volendam U21 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | RKAV U19 | RKAV Volendam | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.