
Kingsley Ehizibue
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kingsley Ehizibue's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-4.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (1810 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 51
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 69.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -37% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1810 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 69 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1442
- Opponent strength
- 1535
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €666k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 20 pts; relative output up 95% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -62% (IQR -74% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | RM | 32 | 1810 | 53% | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 1535 | 1442 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | RM | 33 | 2510 | 73% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 1524 | 1389 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | RM | 23 | 956 | 28% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 1499 | 1420 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | RM | 27 | 1535 | 45% | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 1456 | 1421 | 0.94 |
| 2022/23 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | RB | 1 | 62 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1646 | 1476 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | RB | 16 | 674 | 22% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 1577 | 1500 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | RB | 21 | 1139 | 37% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1540 | 1400 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | RB | 31 | 2338 | 76% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1535 | 1407 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RB | 32 | 2846 | 93% | 1 | 8 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 1358 | 1271 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RB | 33 | 2943 | 96% | 1 | 4 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1331 | 1268 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RW | 29 | 1879 | 61% | 2 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.30 | 1367 | 1260 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RW | 26 | 1614 | 53% | 4 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 1331 | 1347 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RB | 2 | 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1209 | 1340 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 65 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | 1.FC Köln | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1498 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 2 | 143 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 1 | 111 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 390 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 91 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Maurice-Belay Ligue 1 · 2015 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Leandro Greco Serie A · 2015 | 29 | €2.5M | €900k | fell |
| Luca Rigoni Serie A · 2016 | 32 | €4.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Rafael van der Vaart Bundesliga · 2015 | 32 | €3.0M | €350k | fell |
| Halil Altintop Super Lig · 2013 | 31 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Albin Ekdal Serie A · 2021 | 32 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Florent Mollet Ligue 1 · 2023 | 32 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Pirmin Schwegler Bundesliga · 2016 | 29 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2022 | 1.FC Köln | Udinese | €1.5M | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PEC Zwolle | 1.FC Köln | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | PEC Zwolle U19 | PEC Zwolle | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | PEC Zwolle U17 | PEC Zwolle U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.