Kingsley Ehizibue

31 yrs · Right-back (also RM, RW) · Netherlands
Udinese Calcio · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 189 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€575k – €2.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.2M – €4.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€666k – €1.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€215k – €3.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€575k – €2.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €4.1M
Projected value (24 months)€666k – €1.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Kingsley Ehizibue's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-4.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (1810 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 51

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average69.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.1 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.3M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-37% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1810 (53% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.21
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
69 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1442
Opponent strength
1535
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€666k – €1.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 20 pts; relative output up 95% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -62% (IQR -74% to -38%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Udinese CalcioSerie ARM32181053%200.100.21153514420.93
2024/25Udinese CalcioSerie ARM33251073%010.040.11152413890.99
2023/24Udinese CalcioSerie ARM2395628%010.090.20149914200.98
2022/23Udinese CalcioSerie ARM27153545%200.120.17145614210.94
2022/231.FC KölnBundesligaRB1622%000.000.18164614761.04
2021/221.FC KölnBundesligaRB1667422%010.130.17157715001.05
2020/211.FC KölnBundesligaRB21113937%010.080.12154014001.06
2019/201.FC KölnBundesligaRB31233876%110.080.09153514071.06
2018/19PEC ZwolleEredivisieRB32284693%180.280.27135812710.61
2017/18PEC ZwolleEredivisieRB33294396%140.150.15133112680.59
2016/17PEC ZwolleEredivisieRW29187961%220.190.30136712600.54
2015/16PEC ZwolleEredivisieRW26161453%420.330.39133113470.58
2014/15PEC ZwolleEredivisieRB250%000.000.09120913400.52

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupUdinese Calcio218000—
2024/25Italy CupUdinese Calcio19000—
2022/23Italy CupUdinese Calcio16500—
2022/23Uefa Conference League Qualifying1.FC Köln124001498
2022/23Dfb Pokal1.FC Köln11900—
2021/22Dfb Pokal1.FC Köln214300—
2020/21Dfb Pokal1.FC Köln11300—
2019/20Dfb Pokal1.FC Köln111100—
2018/19Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle322500—
2017/18Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle439001—
2016/17Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle29111—
2014/15Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle12200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Nicolas Maurice-Belay
Ligue 1 · 2015
30€2.5M€1.0Mfell
Leandro Greco
Serie A · 2015
29€2.5M€900kfell
Luca Rigoni
Serie A · 2016
32€4.0M€1.0Mfell
Rafael van der Vaart
Bundesliga · 2015
32€3.0M€350kfell
Halil Altintop
Super Lig · 2013
31€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Albin Ekdal
Serie A · 2021
32€3.0M€800kfell
Florent Mollet
Ligue 1 · 2023
32€2.0M€1.2Mfell
Pirmin Schwegler
Bundesliga · 2016
29€3.0M€3.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
29 Aug 20221.FC KölnUdinese€1.5M€1.3M
1 Jul 2019PEC Zwolle1.FC Köln€2.0M€2.0M
1 Jul 2014PEC Zwolle U19PEC ZwolleUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012PEC Zwolle U17PEC Zwolle U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.