Daler Kuzyaev

The model rates Daler Kuzyaev's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-3.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.53x the positional average in the league (996 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

996 (37% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.00

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.12

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

29 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.56 (rank 10)

Team strength (Elo)

1339

Opponent strength

1348

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€531k – €1.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 18 pts; changed club; league level down (-122 Elo); relative output down 54% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -65% (IQR -70% to -44%).

• ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 996 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

18 (MID)

Relative output kept

54%–153%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

56%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.