Yohan Boli

32 yrs · Striker · Cote d'Ivoire
Antalyaspor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 181 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€800k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€212k – €645k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€133k – €538k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€240k – €573k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€512k – €327k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€212k – €645k
Model value (performance-implied)€133k – €538k
Projected value (24 months)€240k – €573k
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yohan Boli's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (872 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average5.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.6 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €282k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationVery low-55% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
872 (28% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.31
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.51
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
5 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1139
Opponent strength
1281
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€240k – €573k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -39% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 872 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26AntalyasporSuper LigST2187228%210.310.51128111390.40
2019/20Sint-Truidense VVJupiler Pro LeagueST17139553%1000.650.63139213140.63
2018/19Sint-Truidense VVJupiler Pro LeagueST29246891%1250.620.62136813810.65
2017/18Sint-Truidense VVJupiler Pro LeagueST27155358%610.410.51135412670.63
2016/17Sint-Truidense VVJupiler Pro LeagueST24150156%620.480.64134812570.62
2015/16Sint-Truidense VVJupiler Pro LeagueST1571827%500.630.62133212260.57

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Miguel Ángel Guerrero
Super League 1 · 2023
33€500k€500kflat
Lee Miller
Scottish Premiership · 2015
32€400k€275kfell
Pablo Vitti
Super League 1 · 2017
32€400k€400kflat
Abdoulay Diaby
Super Lig · 2024
33€600k€175kfell
Franco Di Santo
Super Lig · 2022
33€400k€350kflat
Frederik Boi
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
33€350k€150kfell
Mathías Acuña
Super League 1 · 2024
32€300k€300kflat
Jamie Murphy
Scottish Premiership · 2023
34€400k€300kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Sept 2025Al-GharafaAntalyasporFree / loan€2.0M
12 Jan 2025Al-Khor SCAl-GharafaFree / loan€2.7M
6 Jul 2024Al-GharafaAl-Khor SCFree / loan€3.0M
30 Jun 2024Qatar SCAl-GharafaFree / loan€3.0M
31 Jan 2024Al-GharafaQatar SCFree / loan€3.0M
4 Jul 2023Al-RayyanAl-GharafaFree / loan€3.0M
12 Jan 2020Sint-TruidenAl-Rayyan€3.0M€4.5M
1 Jul 2015RCS VerviersSint-TruidenFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014KSV RoeselareVerviétoisUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013CS Sedan BKSV RoeselareUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2012CS AvionCS Sedan BUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Yohan Boli · MoneyballAI