Fedor Chalov

The model rates Fedor Chalov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-3.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-3.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (1207 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1207 (39% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.30

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.48

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

28 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.40 (rank 18)

Team strength (Elo)

1238

Opponent strength

1245

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.2M – €3.2M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-150 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -75% to -42%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1207 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

53 (ATT)

Relative output kept

79%–133%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

58%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.