Michael Verrips

29 yrs · Goalkeeper · Netherlands
FCV Dender EH · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 196 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€450k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€127k – €524k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€277k – €1.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€184k – €402k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€247k – €911k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€127k – €524k
Model value (performance-implied)€277k – €1.0M
Projected value (24 months)€184k – €402k
Dashed line: current market value (€450k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Michael Verrips's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 42

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average19.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.6 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €291k vs market €450k
Expected appreciationVery low-39% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
900 (33% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.01
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
20 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1207
Opponent strength
1359
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€184k – €402k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 53 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -51% to +5%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 900 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
214 (all positions)
Relative output kept
68%–140%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
69%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FCV Dender EHJupiler Pro LeagueGK1090033%000.000.00135912070.65
2024/25FCV Dender EHJupiler Pro LeagueGK27233787%000.000.00138312670.63
2023/24Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieGK12108035%000.000.00136611900.48
2022/23FC GroningenEredivisieGK24216071%000.000.00134811460.58
2021/22Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieGK21806%000.000.00137212490.60
2020/21FC EmmenEredivisieGK14126041%000.000.00135612500.56
2016/17Sparta RotterdamEredivisieGK1903%000.000.00115112230.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2023/24Knvb BekerFortuna Sittardia Combinatie221000—
2022/23Knvb BekerFC Groningen19000—
2019/20Volkswagen SupercupKV Mechelen190001557
2019/20Fa CupSheffield United14100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Davino Verhulst
Jupiler Pro League · 2019
32€500k€250kfell
Hugo Ventura
Liga Portugal · 2017
29€700k€700kflat
Louis Bostyn
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
29€500k€225kfell
Peter Leeuwenburgh
Eredivisie · 2023
29€400k€400kflat
Trigueira
Liga Portugal · 2017
29€500k€200kfell
Cristiano Figueiredo
Liga Portugal · 2019
29€400k€550krose
Dimitrios Kyriakidis
Super League 1 · 2014
28€500k€600krose
Mickey van der Hart
Eredivisie · 2024
30€500k€500kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026FCV Dender EHWithout ClubUnknown€450k
18 Jul 2024Fortuna SittardFCV Dender EHFree / loan€650k
12 Jan 2024FC GroningenFortuna SittardFree / loan€400k
2 Jul 2022Fortuna SittardFC GroningenFree / loan€800k
1 Jul 2022Sheff UtdFortuna SittardUnknown€800k
30 Jun 2022Fortuna SittardSheff UtdFree / loan€800k
11 Jan 2022Sheff UtdFortuna SittardFree / loan€900k
30 Jun 2021FC EmmenSheff UtdFree / loan€900k
1 Feb 2021Sheff UtdFC EmmenFree / loan€800k
8 Aug 2019KV MechelenSheff UtdFree / loan€1.5M
1 Jul 2018Sparta R.KV MechelenUnknown€250k
30 Jun 2018MVV MaastrichtSparta R.Free / loan€250k
7 Aug 2017Sparta R.MVV MaastrichtFree / loan€100k
1 Jul 2016FC Twente U21Sparta R.Free / loan€50k
1 Jul 2014FC Twente U19FC Twente U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013PSV U17FC Twente U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Vit./AGOVV Jgd.PSV U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010FC Twente YouthVit./AGOVV Jgd.Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2006Grol JeugdFC Twente YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Michael Verrips · MoneyballAI