
Michael Verrips
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Michael Verrips's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 42
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 19.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €291k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 900 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.01
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 20 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1207
- Opponent strength
- 1359
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €184k – €402k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 53 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -51% to +5%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 900 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 214 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–140%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FCV Dender EH | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 10 | 900 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1359 | 1207 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | FCV Dender EH | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 27 | 2337 | 87% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1383 | 1267 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | GK | 12 | 1080 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1366 | 1190 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | GK | 24 | 2160 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1348 | 1146 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | GK | 2 | 180 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1372 | 1249 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | FC Emmen | Eredivisie | GK | 14 | 1260 | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1356 | 1250 | 0.56 |
| 2016/17 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1151 | 1223 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Volkswagen Supercup | KV Mechelen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1557 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Sheffield United | 1 | 41 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davino Verhulst Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 32 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Hugo Ventura Liga Portugal · 2017 | 29 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Louis Bostyn Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 29 | €500k | €225k | fell |
| Peter Leeuwenburgh Eredivisie · 2023 | 29 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Trigueira Liga Portugal · 2017 | 29 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Cristiano Figueiredo Liga Portugal · 2019 | 29 | €400k | €550k | rose |
| Dimitrios Kyriakidis Super League 1 · 2014 | 28 | €500k | €600k | rose |
| Mickey van der Hart Eredivisie · 2024 | 30 | €500k | €500k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | FCV Dender EH | Without Club | Unknown | €450k |
| 18 Jul 2024 | Fortuna Sittard | FCV Dender EH | Free / loan | €650k |
| 12 Jan 2024 | FC Groningen | Fortuna Sittard | Free / loan | €400k |
| 2 Jul 2022 | Fortuna Sittard | FC Groningen | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Sheff Utd | Fortuna Sittard | Unknown | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Fortuna Sittard | Sheff Utd | Free / loan | €800k |
| 11 Jan 2022 | Sheff Utd | Fortuna Sittard | Free / loan | €900k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Emmen | Sheff Utd | Free / loan | €900k |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Sheff Utd | FC Emmen | Free / loan | €800k |
| 8 Aug 2019 | KV Mechelen | Sheff Utd | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sparta R. | KV Mechelen | Unknown | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | MVV Maastricht | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €250k |
| 7 Aug 2017 | Sparta R. | MVV Maastricht | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | FC Twente U21 | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | FC Twente U19 | FC Twente U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | PSV U17 | FC Twente U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Vit./AGOVV Jgd. | PSV U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | FC Twente Youth | Vit./AGOVV Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Grol Jeugd | FC Twente Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.