Maxime Lopez

28 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM, ST) · France
Paris FC · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 167 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€5.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.6M – €4.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.0M – €7.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.0M – €4.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.4M – €5.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.6M – €4.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €7.4M
Projected value (24 months)€2.0M – €4.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Maxime Lopez's performance-implied value at EUR 2.0M-7.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-4.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.0M-4.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.34x the positional average in the league (1960 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 78

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average70.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.6 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €2.1M vs market €5.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-34% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €17.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1960 (64% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.14
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.17
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
70 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1454
Opponent strength
1472
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.0M – €4.7M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -66% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Paris FCLigue 1DM26196064%030.140.17147214540.88
2023/24ACF FiorentinaSerie ADM1979623%000.000.05150015830.98
2023/24US SassuoloSerie ADM21414%000.000.15162313300.98
2022/23US SassuoloSerie ADM30229767%000.000.04147014200.94
2021/22US SassuoloSerie ADM35293986%220.120.11147314640.89
2020/21US SassuoloSerie ACM29186955%200.100.12147215020.90
2020/21Olympique MarseilleLigue 1ST41334%000.000.52161714550.75
2019/20Olympique MarseilleLigue 1CM23111244%030.240.21142315390.82
2018/19Olympique MarseilleLigue 1DM32218764%130.160.13144714770.82
2017/18Olympique MarseilleLigue 1DM24137240%010.070.07142116010.85
2016/17Olympique MarseilleLigue 1CM30218564%360.370.31142815410.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2023/24Italy CupACF Fiorentina224000—
2023/24Italy CupUS Sassuolo110500—
2022/23Italy CupUS Sassuolo14500—
2021/22Italy CupUS Sassuolo213500—
2020/21Italy CupUS Sassuolo16800—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueOlympique Marseille5421011487
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueOlympique Marseille13957121529
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympique Marseille4297021393

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Maxi Moralez
Serie A · 2014
27€5.0M€5.0Mflat
Valter Birsa
Serie A · 2016
30€3.5M€4.0Mflat
Senijad Ibricic
Super Lig · 2013
28€4.5M€2.0Mfell
Mauricio Isla
Ligue 1 · 2016
28€6.0M€2.0Mfell
Tonny Vilhena
Serie A · 2023
28€3.8M€1.3Mfell
Hursut Meric
Super Lig · 2013
30€2.5M€600kfell
Rúben Amorim
Liga Portugal · 2013
28€4.0M€4.0Mflat
Luca Cigarini
Serie A · 2014
28€8.0M€5.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
29 Aug 2024SassuoloParis FCFree / loan€7.5M
30 Jun 2024FiorentinaSassuoloFree / loan€7.5M
1 Sept 2023SassuoloFiorentinaFree / loan€15.0M
1 Jul 2021MarseilleSassuolo€2.5M€10.0M
30 Jun 2021SassuoloMarseilleFree / loan€10.0M
5 Oct 2020MarseilleSassuoloFree / loan€12.0M
8 Jul 2014Marseille U19MarseilleUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Marseille U17Marseille U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Marseille YthMarseille U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Burel FC Jgd.Marseille YthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.