Jean-Luc Dompé

31 yrs · Left winger (also RW) · France
Hamburger SV · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 170 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€657k – €1.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€830k – €3.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€635k – €1.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.1M – €2.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€657k – €1.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€830k – €3.2M
Projected value (24 months)€635k – €1.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Jean-Luc Dompé's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-3.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.79x the positional average in the league (1138 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 34

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage48.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €876k vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-56% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1138 (37% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.24
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.32
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
48 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1380
Opponent strength
1454
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€635k – €1.9M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -76% to -49%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1138 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Hamburger SVBundesligaLW20113837%300.240.32145413800.94
2022/23Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueLW42899%000.000.40134612000.58
2021/22Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueLW32263686%2140.550.53135211990.49
2020/21Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueLW27150049%660.720.61136712900.55
2019/20Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueLW62389%000.000.38135213060.63
2019/20KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueLW6883%011.020.36131515180.63
2018/19KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueLW19111441%160.570.43137914780.65
2017/18Amiens SCLigue 1LW1281%000.000.47141713940.85
2016/17Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueLW730411%020.590.44139113830.62
2016/17KAS EupenJupiler Pro LeagueLW2833%000.000.34119112310.62
2015/16Sint-Truidense VVJupiler Pro LeagueRW1399737%120.270.34134112260.57
2015/16Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueLW52208%110.820.41135213680.57

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Dfb PokalHamburger SV13800—
2022/23Dfb PokalHamburger SV16000—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueKAA Gent213011428
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingKAA Gent4317001446
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueStandard Liège278001629

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ilija Nestorovski
Serie A · 2020
30€2.8M€700kfell
Grégoire Defrel
Serie A · 2023
32€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Shaun Wright-Phillips
Premier League · 2013
32€2.5M€500kfell
Sergio Floccari
Serie A · 2014
33€1.5M€500kfell
Mehmet Yildiz
Super Lig · 2013
32€1.2M€800kfell
Boško Janković
Serie A · 2015
31€1.5M€700kfell
Simone Zaza
Serie A · 2021
30€3.0M€500kfell
Charles N'Zogbia
Premier League · 2015
29€2.5M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
18 Aug 2022Zulte WaregemHamburg€1.1M€2.2M
31 Jan 2020KAA GentZulte WaregemUnknown€1.7M
1 Jul 2018Standard LiègeKAA GentFree / loan€750k
30 Jun 2018Amiens SCStandard LiègeFree / loan€750k
1 Jul 2017Standard LiègeAmiens SCFree / loan€900k
30 Jun 2017KAS EupenStandard LiègeFree / loan€900k
27 Jan 2017Standard LiègeKAS EupenFree / loan€1.5M
7 Jan 2016Sint-TruidenStandard LiègeUnknown€1.5M
1 Jul 2015Valenciennes FCSint-TruidenFree / loan€400k
1 Jan 2015Valenciennes BValenciennes FCUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014VAFC U19Valenciennes BUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Jean-Luc Dompé · MoneyballAI