Fodé Ballo-Touré

29 yrs · Left-back · Senegal
FC Metz · Ligue 1 · Foot: left · Height: 182 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€900k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€222k – €959k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€384k – €1.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€333k – €773k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€575k – €1.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€222k – €959k
Model value (performance-implied)€384k – €1.7M
Projected value (24 months)€333k – €773k
Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Fodé Ballo-Touré's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage42.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €510k vs market €900k
Expected appreciationVery low-33% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
843 (28% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.14
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
42 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1225
Opponent strength
1504
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€333k – €773k

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-108 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -48% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 843 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC MetzLigue 1LB1384328%000.000.14150412250.88
2024/25Le Havre ACLigue 1LB1059519%000.000.13152213330.88
2023/24Fulham FCPremier LeagueLB6652%000.000.13148515241.14
2022/23AC MilanSerie ALB1051815%100.170.08135216220.94
2021/22AC MilanSerie ALB1044313%000.000.07147216830.89
2020/21AS MonacoLigue 1LB2464819%040.560.30143215490.75
2019/20AS MonacoLigue 1LB21167867%000.000.06144114260.82
2018/19AS MonacoLigue 1LB18159547%030.170.19146413960.82
2018/19LOSC LilleLigue 1LB18159547%020.110.15147215430.82
2017/18LOSC LilleLigue 1LB27205760%000.000.05144613720.85

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueAC Milan4132001682
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueAC Milan291001684

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ligue 1 · 2020
28€800k€600kfell
Rincón
Ligue 1 · 2016
29€1.0M€500kfell
Nicola Murru
Serie A · 2023
29€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Fabio Lucioni
Serie A · 2018
31€400k€725krose
Fernand Mayembo
Ligue 1 · 2023
27€600k€600kflat
Mouhamadou Dabo
Ligue 1 · 2016
30€1.0M€500kfell
Youssouf Koné
Ligue 1 · 2023
28€1.5M€800kfell
Akès da Costa Goore
Premier Liga · 2013
28€500k€300kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
3 Sept 2025Without ClubFC MetzUnknown€1.2M
1 Jul 2025Le Havre ACWithout ClubUnknown€1.2M
23 Jan 2025Milan FuturoLe Havre ACFree / loan€1.5M
8 Jul 2024AC MilanMilan FuturoUnknown€3.0M
30 Jun 2024FulhamAC MilanFree / loan€3.0M
1 Sept 2023AC MilanFulhamFree / loan€3.5M
18 Jul 2021MonacoAC Milan€5.4M€6.5M
10 Jan 2019LilleMonaco€11.0M€7.0M
1 Jul 2017Paris SG BLilleFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Paris SG U19Paris SG BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Paris SG U17Paris SG U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012PSG YouthParis SG U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Fodé Ballo-Touré · MoneyballAI