
Fodé Ballo-Touré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Fodé Ballo-Touré's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 42.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €510k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 843 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1504
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €333k – €773k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-108 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -48% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 843 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | LB | 13 | 843 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1504 | 1225 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | LB | 10 | 595 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1522 | 1333 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Fulham FC | Premier League | LB | 6 | 65 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1485 | 1524 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | AC Milan | Serie A | LB | 10 | 518 | 15% | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.08 | 1352 | 1622 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | AC Milan | Serie A | LB | 10 | 443 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1472 | 1683 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | LB | 24 | 648 | 19% | 0 | 4 | 0.56 | 0.30 | 1432 | 1549 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | LB | 21 | 1678 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1441 | 1426 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | LB | 18 | 1595 | 47% | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 1464 | 1396 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | LB | 18 | 1595 | 47% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 1472 | 1543 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | LB | 27 | 2057 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1446 | 1372 | 0.85 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | AC Milan | 4 | 132 | 0 | 0 | 1682 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | AC Milan | 2 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 1684 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Gabrielsen Ligue 1 · 2020 | 28 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Rincón Ligue 1 · 2016 | 29 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Nicola Murru Serie A · 2023 | 29 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Fabio Lucioni Serie A · 2018 | 31 | €400k | €725k | rose |
| Fernand Mayembo Ligue 1 · 2023 | 27 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Mouhamadou Dabo Ligue 1 · 2016 | 30 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Youssouf Koné Ligue 1 · 2023 | 28 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Akès da Costa Goore Premier Liga · 2013 | 28 | €500k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sept 2025 | Without Club | FC Metz | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Le Havre AC | Without Club | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 23 Jan 2025 | Milan Futuro | Le Havre AC | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 8 Jul 2024 | AC Milan | Milan Futuro | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Fulham | AC Milan | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | AC Milan | Fulham | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 18 Jul 2021 | Monaco | AC Milan | €5.4M | €6.5M |
| 10 Jan 2019 | Lille | Monaco | €11.0M | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Paris SG B | Lille | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Paris SG U19 | Paris SG B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Paris SG U17 | Paris SG U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | PSG Youth | Paris SG U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.