Hamari Traoré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Hamari Traoré's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 58.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €503k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -57% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1154 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 59 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1454
- Opponent strength
- 1423
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €385k – €1.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; changed club; relative output down 28% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -74% to -46%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1154 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | RB | 18 | 1154 | 38% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 1423 | 1454 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | RB | 11 | 706 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 1465 | 1464 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | RB | 31 | 2296 | 67% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1466 | 1588 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RB | 31 | 2531 | 74% | 1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 1423 | 1562 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RB | 33 | 2898 | 85% | 3 | 10 | 0.40 | 0.29 | 1433 | 1581 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RB | 35 | 3003 | 88% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1432 | 1445 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RB | 27 | 2413 | 96% | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 1423 | 1507 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RB | 34 | 2973 | 87% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1458 | 1488 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RB | 30 | 2640 | 77% | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1453 | 1502 | 0.85 |
| 2015/16 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | RB | 33 | 2912 | 85% | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 1444 | 1333 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | Lierse SK (- 2018) | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 29 | 2600 | 96% | 1 | 5 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 1324 | 1187 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | Lierse SK (- 2018) | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 11 | 632 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1317 | 1221 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Mali | 2 | 93 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 1 | 41 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1573 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Real Sociedad | 7 | 530 | 0 | 0 | 1733 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 3 | 263 | 0 | 0 | 1487 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Stade Rennais FC | 2 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 1514 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Stade Rennais FC | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1604 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1499 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 8 | 675 | 0 | 0 | 1506 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danijel Pranjic Liga Portugal · 2013 | 32 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Nicolás Spolli Serie A · 2016 | 33 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Milan Bisevac Serie A · 2016 | 33 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Walter Samuel Serie A · 2013 | 35 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
| Markus Suttner Bundesliga · 2020 | 33 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Lorenzo Tonelli Serie A · 2021 | 31 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Matthieu Chalmé Ligue 1 · 2013 | 33 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| David López Laliga · 2022 | 33 | €1.8M | €2.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Real Sociedad | Paris FC | €4.5M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Stade Rennais | Real Sociedad | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Stade Reims | Stade Rennais | €2.4M | €2.0M |
| 17 Jul 2015 | Lierse SK | Stade Reims | €900k | €900k |
| 16 Aug 2013 | Paris FC | Lierse SK | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | USFAS Bamako | Paris FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | JMG Bamako | USFAS Bamako | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.