Pelle Clement

30 yrs · Central midfielder · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 177 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€600k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€161k – €598k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€440k – €711k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€297k – €520k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€157k – €550k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€161k – €598k
Model value (performance-implied)€440k – €711k
Projected value (24 months)€297k – €520k
Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Pelle Clement's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.15x the positional average in the league (1609 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 68

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average21.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €327k vs market €600k
Expected appreciationVery low-36% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1609 (53% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.28
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.25
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
22 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1213
Opponent strength
1346
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€297k – €520k

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-87 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -31% to +36%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1609 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Sparta RotterdamEredivisieCM26160953%230.280.25134612130.43
2024/25Sparta RotterdamEredivisieCM32167355%240.320.26129813000.50
2023/24Sparta RotterdamEredivisieCM29189962%250.330.26135513270.48
2022/23RKC WaalwijkEredivisieCM33238978%220.150.17135412580.58
2021/22PEC ZwolleEredivisieCM19139045%020.130.23136012260.60
2020/21PEC ZwolleEredivisieCM23129142%220.280.31135812710.56
2019/20PEC ZwolleEredivisieCM24208689%240.260.28139012720.62
2018/19PEC ZwolleEredivisieCM17146948%030.180.23135812710.61
2016/17Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCM1241%000.000.11127816270.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerSparta Rotterdam214800—
2024/25Knvb BekerSparta Rotterdam13003—
2023/24Knvb BekerSparta Rotterdam19001—
2022/23Knvb BekerRKC Waalwijk12200—
2021/22Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle13600—
2020/21Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle18500—
2019/20Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle218000—
2016/17Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam213530—
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam128001399

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Panagiotis Zorbas
Super League 1 · 2017
30€400k€150kfell
Nicolás Oroz
Super League 1 · 2022
28€500k€800krose
Dimitrios Kolovos
Super League 1 · 2023
30€600k€500kflat
José María Cases
Super League 1 · 2015
29€600k€500kflat
Matias Iglesias
Super League 1 · 2017
32€500k€200kfell
Andy Rose
Scottish Premiership · 2018
28€350k€450krose
Erik Sabo
Super Lig · 2022
31€725k€600kflat
David Wotherspoon
Scottish Premiership · 2020
30€325k€600krose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026Sparta R.Without ClubUnknown€600k
1 Jul 2023RKC WaalwijkSparta R.Free / loan€700k
5 Aug 2022PEC ZwolleRKC WaalwijkFree / loan€700k
3 Jan 2019ReadingPEC ZwolleFree / loan€350k
1 Jul 2017Ajax U21ReadingUnknown€350k
1 Jul 2015Ajax U19Ajax U21Unknown€25k
1 Jul 2013Ajax U17Ajax U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Ajax YouthAjax U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2006Kon. HFC Yth.Ajax YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.