
Pelle Clement
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Pelle Clement's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.15x the positional average in the league (1609 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 68
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 21.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €327k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1609 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 22 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1213
- Opponent strength
- 1346
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €297k – €520k
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-87 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -31% to +36%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1609 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 26 | 1609 | 53% | 2 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 1346 | 1213 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 32 | 1673 | 55% | 2 | 4 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 1298 | 1300 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 29 | 1899 | 62% | 2 | 5 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 1355 | 1327 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | CM | 33 | 2389 | 78% | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 1354 | 1258 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | CM | 19 | 1390 | 45% | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 1360 | 1226 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | CM | 23 | 1291 | 42% | 2 | 2 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 1358 | 1271 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | CM | 24 | 2086 | 89% | 2 | 4 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 1390 | 1272 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | CM | 17 | 1469 | 48% | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 1358 | 1271 | 0.61 |
| 2016/17 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 1 | 24 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1278 | 1627 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 148 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 30 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 36 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 135 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1399 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panagiotis Zorbas Super League 1 · 2017 | 30 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Nicolás Oroz Super League 1 · 2022 | 28 | €500k | €800k | rose |
| Dimitrios Kolovos Super League 1 · 2023 | 30 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| José María Cases Super League 1 · 2015 | 29 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Matias Iglesias Super League 1 · 2017 | 32 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Andy Rose Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 28 | €350k | €450k | rose |
| Erik Sabo Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €725k | €600k | flat |
| David Wotherspoon Scottish Premiership · 2020 | 30 | €325k | €600k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Sparta R. | Without Club | Unknown | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | RKC Waalwijk | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €700k |
| 5 Aug 2022 | PEC Zwolle | RKC Waalwijk | Free / loan | €700k |
| 3 Jan 2019 | Reading | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Ajax U21 | Reading | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Kon. HFC Yth. | Ajax Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.