Miro Muheim
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Miro Muheim's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-3.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-4.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.3M-5.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.89x the positional average in the league (2437 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 83
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 51.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.0M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2437 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 52 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1380
- Opponent strength
- 1480
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.3M – €5.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +4% (IQR -8% to +28%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Hamburger SV | Bundesliga | LM | 29 | 2437 | 80% | 0 | 4 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 1480 | 1380 | 0.94 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Hamburger SV | 3 | 330 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Rigoni Serie A · 2013 | 29 | €3.8M | €6.5M | rose |
| Charles Kaboré Premier Liga · 2015 | 27 | €7.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Luca Antonelli Serie A · 2014 | 27 | €7.0M | €7.5M | flat |
| Jon Guridi Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €4.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Neto Borges Ligue 1 · 2024 | 28 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Marco Parolo Serie A · 2013 | 28 | €4.5M | €8.5M | rose |
| Adam Clayton Premier League · 2017 | 28 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Kadir Bekmezci Super Lig · 2013 | 28 | €2.8M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | FC St. Gallen | Hamburg | €1.5M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Hamburg | FC St. Gallen | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FC St. Gallen | Hamburg | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Jan 2018 | Chelsea U23 | FC St. Gallen | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2017 | FC Zürich | Chelsea U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 2 Feb 2017 | Chelsea U23 | FC Zürich | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Chelsea U18 | Chelsea U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | FC Zürich U16 | Chelsea U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | FC Zürich Yth. | FC Zürich U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.