Mehdi Taremi

34 yrs · Striker (also SS) · Iran
Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€549k – €1.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.9M – €7.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€398k – €1.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€71k – €6.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€549k – €1.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €7.4M
Projected value (24 months)€398k – €1.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Mehdi Taremi's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-7.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (1077 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceHigh81.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable34 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €732k vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-53% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €20.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1077 (46% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
1.17
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.50
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
82 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1550
Opponent strength
1241
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€398k – €1.4M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 22 pts; changed club; team strength down (-268 Elo); league level down (-223 Elo); relative output up 104% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -71% (IQR -75% to -70%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1077 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
19 (ATT)
Relative output kept
99%–112%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
47%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1ST19107746%1041.170.50124115500.43
2024/25Inter MilanSerie AST2680524%130.450.25145918190.99
2023/24FC PortoLiga PortugalST23148148%640.610.29134616280.58
2022/23FC PortoLiga PortugalST33263386%2281.030.51139417440.68
2021/22FC PortoLiga PortugalSS32243380%20131.220.74135916920.67
2020/21FC PortoLiga PortugalST34222573%16151.250.55132416800.61
2019/20Rio Ave FCLiga PortugalST30235477%1850.880.77138614120.59

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios10485221621
2025/26Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios427130—
2025/26World CupIran326000—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan12714141689
2024/25Italy CupInter Milan323301—
2024/25Supercoppa ItalianaInter Milan2135111695
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueFC Porto7546221600
2023/24Supercup Candido De OliveiraFC Porto181001718
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueFC Porto7615521636
2022/23Supercup Candido De OliveiraFC Porto187211286
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueFC Porto6495111728
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueFC Porto3174111570
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueFC Porto6198211701
2020/21Supercup Candido De OliveiraFC Porto177011605

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Denys Garmash
Premier Liga · 2022
32€1.8M€300kfell
David Fuster
Super League 1 · 2014
32€2.0M€600kfell
Oleg Gusev
Premier Liga · 2016
33€2.0M€500kfell
Mesut Özil
Super Lig · 2022
34€1.8M€700kfell
El Arbi Hillel Soudani
Super League 1 · 2020
33€1.2M€350kfell
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos
Super League 1 · 2018
32€2.0M€475kfell
Roberto Soldado
Super Lig · 2018
33€2.5M€800kfell
Jermain Defoe
Scottish Premiership · 2020
38€1.4M€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
31 Aug 2025InterOlympiacos€2.0M€3.5M
13 Jul 2024PortoInterFree / loan€10.0M
31 Aug 2020Rio AvePorto€4.7M€10.0M
23 Jul 2019Al-GharafaRio AveFree / loan€1.7M
12 Jan 2018Persepolis FCAl-Gharafa€492k€2.0M
1 Jul 2014Iranjavan FCPersepolis FCFree / loan€175k
1 Jul 2013Career breakIranjavan FCUnknownData unavailable
1 Feb 2012Shahin BushehrCareer breakUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Iranjavan FCShahin BushehrFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Iranjavan U19Iranjavan FCUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.