Vito van Crooij
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Vito van Crooij's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.66x the positional average in the league (999 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 64
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 30.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €259k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -44% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 999 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.26
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 30 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1250
- Opponent strength
- 1292
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €372k – €754k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; changed club; team strength down (-70 Elo); relative output down 60% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -55% to +3%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 999 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | AM | 10 | 749 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.26 | 1292 | 1213 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | AM | 8 | 250 | 8% | 1 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.28 | 1207 | 1362 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | AM | 25 | 1895 | 62% | 9 | 8 | 0.81 | 0.65 | 1291 | 1320 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RW | 3 | 263 | 9% | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 1386 | 1327 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RW | 34 | 2865 | 94% | 12 | 11 | 0.72 | 0.60 | 1344 | 1394 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LM | 33 | 2193 | 72% | 5 | 4 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 1348 | 1295 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | VVV-Venlo | Eredivisie | AM | 31 | 2721 | 89% | 3 | 8 | 0.36 | 0.46 | 1372 | 1138 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RW | 16 | 1003 | 43% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.29 | 1405 | 1272 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RW | 30 | 2397 | 78% | 9 | 4 | 0.49 | 0.50 | 1350 | 1271 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | VVV-Venlo | Eredivisie | RW | 31 | 2463 | 80% | 5 | 6 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 1335 | 1197 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 163 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 178 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 110 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 76 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | VVV-Venlo | 4 | 375 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 152 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 161 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | VVV-Venlo | 2 | 173 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campanharo Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| Dimitrios Kourbelis Super Lig · 2024 | 31 | €1.4M | €900k | fell |
| Darko Jevtic Super League 1 · 2022 | 29 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Andy Rose Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 29 | €400k | €450k | flat |
| Evgeniy Kharin Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €1.5M | €650k | fell |
| Noé Acosta Super League 1 · 2014 | 31 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| Celso Borges Super Lig · 2020 | 32 | €600k | €275k | fell |
| André Poko Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Sparta R. | NEC Nijmegen | Free / loan | €900k |
| 9 Jan 2026 | NEC Nijmegen | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Sept 2024 | Without Club | NEC Nijmegen | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 3 Sept 2024 | Al-Wehda | Without Club | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 7 Sept 2023 | Sparta R. | Al-Wehda | Unknown | €2.2M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | VVV-Venlo | Sparta R. | Unknown | €750k |
| 25 Aug 2020 | PEC Zwolle | VVV-Venlo | Unknown | €800k |
| 13 Jul 2018 | VVV-Venlo | PEC Zwolle | €650k | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | VVV/Hel U19 | VVV-Venlo | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | VVV/Hel U17 | VVV/Hel U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | VVV/Helm. Youth | VVV/Hel U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2004 | Quick Boys Yth. | VVV-Venlo Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.