Oleg Slobodyan
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Oleg Slobodyan's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (1140 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 87
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 2.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €160k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1140 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 2 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1070
- Opponent strength
- 1160
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €137k – €313k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 19 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -33% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1140 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Obolon Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 18 | 1140 | 42% | 2 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.39 | 1160 | 1070 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Obolon Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 19 | 627 | 23% | 2 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.48 | 1202 | 1098 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Obolon Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 17 | 1099 | 41% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.32 | 1265 | 1078 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Obolon Kyiv | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Obolon Kyiv | 1 | 71 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Obolon Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergiy Petko Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Vitaliy Grusha Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Ben Purrington Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Mix Diskerud Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| Savvas Gentsoglou Super League 1 · 2022 | 32 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Bogdan Myshenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 29 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Igor Chaykovskyi Premier Liga · 2023 | 32 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Tyronne Super League 1 · 2022 | 31 | €250k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2013 | Unknown | Obolon-Brovar | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.