
Jonathan Ikoné
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jonathan Ikoné's performance-implied value at EUR 2.7M-5.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-3.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-3.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.05x the positional average in the league (1101 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 70
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 59.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.0M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -40% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1101 (36% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 59 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1454
- Opponent strength
- 1517
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €3.8M
Trajectory drivers: changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -50% to -2%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1101 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | RW | 23 | 1101 | 36% | 3 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 1517 | 1454 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Como 1907 | Serie A | RW | 13 | 538 | 16% | 2 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.42 | 1412 | 1461 | 0.99 |
| 2024/25 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | RW | 14 | 322 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1444 | 1580 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | RW | 28 | 1685 | 49% | 3 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 1468 | 1583 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | RW | 33 | 2007 | 59% | 4 | 5 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 1473 | 1597 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | RW | 18 | 1074 | 31% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 1428 | 1540 | 0.86 |
| 2021/22 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | RW | 17 | 644 | 19% | 1 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 1447 | 1470 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | RW | 37 | 2186 | 64% | 4 | 5 | 0.37 | 0.30 | 1449 | 1610 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | RW | 28 | 2087 | 83% | 3 | 6 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 1450 | 1516 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | AM | 38 | 2816 | 82% | 3 | 9 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 1458 | 1543 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | LW | 18 | 999 | 29% | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 1438 | 1438 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | RW | 14 | 666 | 19% | 1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0.37 | 1445 | 1380 | 0.88 |
| 2016/17 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | LW | 4 | 138 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1329 | 1757 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | ACF Fiorentina | 2 | 88 | 0 | 1 | 1419 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 3 | 72 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Supercoppa Italiana | ACF Fiorentina | 1 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1630 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 327 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | ACF Fiorentina | 2 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 1464 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | LOSC Lille | 5 | 296 | 1 | 2 | 1625 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 4 | 210 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Trophee Des Champions | LOSC Lille | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1727 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | LOSC Lille | 8 | 434 | 3 | 2 | 1587 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | LOSC Lille | 4 | 242 | 1 | 0 | 1750 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1540 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munir El Haddadi Laliga · 2023 | 28 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Wesley Saïd Ligue 1 · 2024 | 29 | €4.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Alfred Finnbogason Bundesliga · 2016 | 27 | €5.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Yura Movsisyan Premier Liga · 2016 | 29 | €4.0M | €800k | fell |
| Alessio Cerci Serie A · 2016 | 29 | €8.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Ignacio Pussetto Serie A · 2022 | 27 | €3.0M | €2.7M | flat |
| Mauricio Pinilla Serie A · 2013 | 29 | €3.4M | €2.2M | fell |
| Sergey Tkachev Premier Liga · 2015 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Fiorentina | Paris FC | €2.0M | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Como | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 31 Jan 2025 | Fiorentina | Como | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 3 Jan 2022 | Lille | Fiorentina | €15.4M | €22.0M |
| 2 Jul 2018 | PSG | Lille | €5.0M | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Montpellier | PSG | Free / loan | €700k |
| 7 Jul 2017 | PSG | Montpellier | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Montpellier | PSG | Free / loan | €700k |
| 18 Jan 2017 | PSG | Montpellier | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Paris SG U19 | PSG | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Paris SG U17 | Paris SG U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | PSG Youth | Paris SG U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | AS Bondy Yth. | PSG Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.