
Maksym Marusych
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Maksym Marusych's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.37x the positional average in the league (1077 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €92k vs market €100k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1077 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.70
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 909
- Opponent strength
- 1186
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €72k – €101k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -6% (IQR -36% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1077 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Poltava | Premier Liga | ST | 20 | 1077 | 40% | 3 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.70 | 1186 | 909 | 0.25 |
| 2023/24 | NK Veres Rivne | Premier Liga | ST | 13 | 662 | 25% | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.56 | 1259 | 1152 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Ingulets Petrove | Premier Liga | ST | 25 | 1026 | 38% | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.47 | 1276 | 1151 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Poltava | 1 | 45 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | NK Veres Rivne | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazenga LuaLua Super League 1 · 2023 | 33 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Yaroslav Bogunov Premier Liga · 2023 | 30 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Abiola Dauda Super League 1 · 2022 | 34 | €150k | €75k | fell |
| Nicky Clark Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 33 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Dmytro Yusov Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Stefan Ashkovski Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Georgios Manousos Super League 1 · 2022 | 35 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Christos Eleftheriadis Super League 1 · 2022 | 31 | €250k | €175k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2024 | Veres Rivne | SC Poltava | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Ingulets | Veres Rivne | Free / loan | €200k |
| 24 Aug 2022 | Without Club | Ingulets | Unknown | €225k |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Riteriai | Without Club | Unknown | €225k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Unknown | Riteriai | Free / loan | €250k |
| 12 Mar 2021 | Noah Jurmala | Unknown | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Kaspiy Aktau | Noah Jurmala | Free / loan | €250k |
| 28 Aug 2020 | Without Club | Kaspiy Aktau | Unknown | €225k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Jelgava | Without Club | Unknown | €225k |
| 15 Aug 2019 | RFS | Jelgava | Free / loan | €225k |
| 13 Mar 2018 | Jonava | RFS | Free / loan | €175k |
| 1 Mar 2017 | Without Club | Jonava | Unknown | €75k |
| 18 Nov 2016 | Girnyk-Sport | Without Club | Unknown | €75k |
| 28 Jul 2016 | Desna | Girnyk-Sport | Free / loan | €75k |
| 5 Mar 2016 | Girnyk-Sport | Desna | Free / loan | €75k |
| 19 Mar 2015 | Without Club | Girnyk-Sport | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Sept 2014 | Karpaty Lviv | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 23 Jul 2014 | Vorskla II | Karpaty Lviv | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Vorskla U17 | Vorskla II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.