Ché Nunnely
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ché Nunnely's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.95x the positional average in the league (1312 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 91
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 4.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €289k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1312 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.40
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1127
- Opponent strength
- 1218
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €295k – €599k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -7% to +29%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1312 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panserraikos Serres | Super League 1 | RW | 12 | 861 | 37% | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.40 | 1218 | 1104 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Kifisias | Super League 1 | RW | 7 | 451 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1240 | 1169 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | RW | 16 | 244 | 8% | 0 | 2 | 0.74 | 0.58 | 1281 | 1252 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | RW | 32 | 1716 | 56% | 2 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.33 | 1375 | 1222 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | RW | 13 | 540 | 18% | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 1345 | 1306 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Willem II Tilburg | Eredivisie | RW | 31 | 2462 | 80% | 6 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.39 | 1358 | 1237 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Willem II Tilburg | Eredivisie | RW | 32 | 2184 | 71% | 7 | 4 | 0.45 | 0.48 | 1366 | 1265 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Willem II Tilburg | Eredivisie | RW | 25 | 2036 | 87% | 4 | 6 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 1382 | 1370 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 2 | 133 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 2 | 147 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Willem II Tilburg | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1441 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | Willem II Tilburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Willem II Tilburg | 3 | 254 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gökhan Töre Super Lig · 2020 | 28 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| João Pedro Super League 1 · 2024 | 28 | €450k | €800k | rose |
| David Sambissa Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €375k | €375k | flat |
| Umut Nayir Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €700k | €900k | rose |
| Richard Soumah Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 28 | €650k | €650k | flat |
| Souleymane Sawadogo Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Bashkim Kadrii Superliga · 2018 | 27 | €500k | €650k | rose |
| Sergiy Myakushko Premier Liga · 2023 | 30 | €400k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | Panserraikos | Kifisia | Unknown | €500k |
| 27 Aug 2025 | Heerenveen | Panserraikos | Free / loan | €500k |
| 19 Jan 2023 | Without Club | Heerenveen | Unknown | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Willem II | Without Club | Unknown | €850k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Ajax U21 | Willem II | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Utrecht Youth | Ajax Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Almere City FC | Utrecht Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.