Levan Shengelia

30 yrs · Right winger · Georgia
Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC · Super League 1 · Foot: left · Height: 184 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€700k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€175k – €789k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€326k – €1.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€255k – €558k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€462k – €907k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€175k – €789k
Model value (performance-implied)€326k – €1.1M
Projected value (24 months)€255k – €558k
Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Levan Shengelia's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (1447 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 62

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average20.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €360k vs market €700k
Expected appreciationVery low-43% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1447 (62% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.19
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.33
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
21 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1225
Opponent strength
1244
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€255k – €558k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 40% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -62% to -27%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1447 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
19 (ATT)
Relative output kept
99%–112%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
47%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FCSuper League 1RW24144762%120.190.32124412250.43
2024/25Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FCSuper League 1RW22183378%270.440.60125611960.35
2023/24Panetolikos AgrinioSuper League 1RW20105845%210.260.43128211470.42
2022/23Panetolikos AgrinioSuper League 1RW25160469%330.340.47122911640.37
2021/22Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueRW2259319%310.610.47132812460.49
2020/21KonyasporSuper LigRW33152842%530.470.50129712250.37
2019/20KonyasporSuper LigRW23144447%240.370.47131612260.45

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasOmilos Filathlon Irakliou FC841911—
2024/25Kypello ElladasOmilos Filathlon Irakliou FC833611—
2023/24Kypello ElladasPanetolikos Agrinio416900—
2022/23Kypello ElladasPanetolikos Agrinio15100—
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingDinamo Tbilisi5374301370

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kasper Kusk
Superliga · 2021
30€700k€500kfell
Mats Seuntjens
Eredivisie · 2024
32€850k€275kfell
Karim Soltani
Super League 1 · 2016
32€500k€200kfell
Amilton
Super Lig · 2020
31€600k€750krose
Michael Gardyne
Scottish Premiership · 2017
31€400k€275kfell
Juan Manuel García
Super League 1 · 2024
32€700k€175kfell
Tony Watt
Scottish Premiership · 2023
30€500k€200kfell
Andreas Avraam
Super League 1 · 2017
30€500k€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026OFI CreteWithout ClubUnknown€700k
9 Aug 2024PanetolikosOFI CreteFree / loan€750k
17 Aug 2022OH LeuvenPanetolikosFree / loan€1.0M
11 Aug 2021KonyasporOH LeuvenFree / loan€2.0M
2 Sept 2019Dinamo TbilisiKonyasporFree / loan€500k
14 Aug 2018AFC TubizeDinamo TbilisiFree / loan€275k
31 Dec 2017Daejeon CitizenAFC TubizeFree / loan€275k
6 Jan 2017AFC TubizeDaejeon CitizenFree / loan€150k
14 Aug 2015Kolkheti-1913AFC TubizeUnknown€100k
1 Jan 2015Torpedo KutaisiKolkheti-1913Free / loanData unavailable
1 Aug 2014Dila IITorpedo KutaisiFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.