
Levan Shengelia
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Levan Shengelia's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (1447 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 62
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 20.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €360k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -43% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1447 (62% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.33
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1244
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €255k – €558k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 40% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -62% to -27%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1447 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | RW | 24 | 1447 | 62% | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.32 | 1244 | 1225 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | RW | 22 | 1833 | 78% | 2 | 7 | 0.44 | 0.60 | 1256 | 1196 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | RW | 20 | 1058 | 45% | 2 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.43 | 1282 | 1147 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | RW | 25 | 1604 | 69% | 3 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.47 | 1229 | 1164 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 22 | 593 | 19% | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 0.47 | 1328 | 1246 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | RW | 33 | 1528 | 42% | 5 | 3 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 1297 | 1225 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | RW | 23 | 1444 | 47% | 2 | 4 | 0.37 | 0.47 | 1316 | 1226 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 8 | 419 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 8 | 336 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 4 | 169 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 1 | 51 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dinamo Tbilisi | 5 | 374 | 3 | 0 | 1370 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasper Kusk Superliga · 2021 | 30 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Mats Seuntjens Eredivisie · 2024 | 32 | €850k | €275k | fell |
| Karim Soltani Super League 1 · 2016 | 32 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Amilton Super Lig · 2020 | 31 | €600k | €750k | rose |
| Michael Gardyne Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 31 | €400k | €275k | fell |
| Juan Manuel García Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €700k | €175k | fell |
| Tony Watt Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 30 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Andreas Avraam Super League 1 · 2017 | 30 | €500k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | OFI Crete | Without Club | Unknown | €700k |
| 9 Aug 2024 | Panetolikos | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €750k |
| 17 Aug 2022 | OH Leuven | Panetolikos | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 11 Aug 2021 | Konyaspor | OH Leuven | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 2 Sept 2019 | Dinamo Tbilisi | Konyaspor | Free / loan | €500k |
| 14 Aug 2018 | AFC Tubize | Dinamo Tbilisi | Free / loan | €275k |
| 31 Dec 2017 | Daejeon Citizen | AFC Tubize | Free / loan | €275k |
| 6 Jan 2017 | AFC Tubize | Daejeon Citizen | Free / loan | €150k |
| 14 Aug 2015 | Kolkheti-1913 | AFC Tubize | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2015 | Torpedo Kutaisi | Kolkheti-1913 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2014 | Dila II | Torpedo Kutaisi | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.