Kevin Diks
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kevin Diks's performance-implied value at EUR 3.2M-5.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.1M-5.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.0M-4.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 15
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 75.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.7M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -46% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2467 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 75 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1423
- Opponent strength
- 1498
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.0M – €4.0M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+228 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -63% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | CB | 30 | 2467 | 81% | 5 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 1498 | 1422 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CB | 20 | 1396 | 71% | 4 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.16 | 1291 | 1399 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | CB | 21 | 1762 | 89% | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.08 | 1267 | 1517 | 0.48 |
| 2021/22 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | RB | 18 | 1254 | 63% | 2 | 4 | 0.43 | 0.15 | 1254 | 1516 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | RB | 16 | 1097 | 55% | 2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 1321 | 1335 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | CB | 8 | 357 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1218 | 1317 | 0.41 |
| 2017/18 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 23 | 1694 | 55% | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 1296 | 1530 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RB | 11 | 942 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1355 | 1358 | 0.54 |
| 2016/17 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | CB | 2 | 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1584 | 1523 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RB | 30 | 2559 | 84% | 2 | 4 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 1325 | 1370 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RB | 22 | 1809 | 59% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1334 | 1431 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 221 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 522 | 2 | 0 | 1300 |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 386 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 708 | 0 | 0 | 1732 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 525 | 0 | 0 | 1473 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 462 | 4 | 1 | 1340 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | Aarhus GF | 5 | 231 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Oddset Pokalen | Aarhus GF | 2 | 59 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 4 | 345 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 3 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1785 |
| 2017/18 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1358 |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Vitesse Arnhem | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1552 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 4 | 336 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Spolli Serie A · 2013 | 30 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Pablo Martínez Ligue 1 · 2019 | 30 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Jean Beausejour Premier League · 2013 | 29 | €5.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Daniel Brosinski Bundesliga · 2018 | 30 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Daniele Gastaldello Serie A · 2013 | 30 | €3.6M | €1.0M | fell |
| Milos Veljkovic Bundesliga · 2023 | 28 | €5.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Brian Oliván Laliga · 2023 | 29 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Marco Russ Bundesliga · 2016 | 31 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Copenhagen | Mönchengladbach | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 5 Jul 2021 | Fiorentina | Copenhagen | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Aarhus GF | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 2 Sept 2019 | Fiorentina | Aarhus GF | Free / loan | €1.4M |
| 1 Sept 2019 | FC Empoli | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €1.4M |
| 31 Jan 2019 | Fiorentina | FC Empoli | Free / loan | €1.4M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Feyenoord | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 4 Jul 2017 | Fiorentina | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Vitesse | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jan 2017 | Fiorentina | Vitesse | Free / loan | €1.9M |
| 6 Jul 2016 | Vitesse | Fiorentina | €2.9M | €1.5M |
| 24 Aug 2014 | Vitesse U19 | Vitesse | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Vitesse U17 | Vitesse U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Vit./AGOVV Jgd. | VIT/AGOVV U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | AGOVV Yth. | Vit./AGOVV Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.