Miguel Campos

30 yrs · Centre-back · Portugal
FC Oleksandriya · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€800k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€203k – €827k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€316k – €816k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€310k – €631k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€511k – €613k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€203k – €827k
Model value (performance-implied)€316k – €816k
Projected value (24 months)€310k – €631k
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Miguel Campos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 71

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average18.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €407k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationVery low-38% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.8M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1902 (70% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.08
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
19 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1068
Opponent strength
1168
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€310k – €631k

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-240 Elo); relative output down 37% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -41% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaCB22190270%110.090.08116810680.25
2024/25FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaCB27222682%500.200.12119813090.28
2023/24FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaCB1291634%020.200.14125712180.34

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Oleksandriya2180001344
2024/25Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya216500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Maksym Zhychykov
Premier Liga · 2024
32€400k€400kflat
Vladyslav Pryimak
Premier Liga · 2024
28€400k€400kflat
Mattias Johansson
Super Lig · 2021
29€500k€300kfell
Mykyta Bezuglyi
Premier Liga · 2024
29€500k€500kflat
Laurens De Bock
Super League 1 · 2023
31€600k€500kflat
Petro Stasyuk
Premier Liga · 2024
29€500k€400kfell
Nikolaos Korovesis
Super League 1 · 2021
30€450k€250kfell
Semih Kaya
Super Lig · 2021
30€900k€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026FC OleksandriyaWithout ClubUnknown€800k
17 Jan 2024NK RudesFC Oleksandriya€100k€150k
9 Aug 2022AnadiaNK RudesFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2021BC BrancoAnadiaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2020ÁguedaBC BrancoFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2019OlhanenseÁguedaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2018SacavenenseOlhanenseFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Ol. BairroSacavenenseFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Beira-MarOl. BairroFree / loanData unavailable
30 Jun 2016Oliveira FradesBeira-MarFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2016Beira-MarOliveira FradesFree / loanData unavailable
31 Dec 2015GafanhaBeira-MarFree / loanData unavailable
1 Aug 2015Beira-MarGafanhaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Beira-Mar U19Beira-MarUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Beira-Mar S17Beira-Mar U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.