
Miguel Campos
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Miguel Campos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 71
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 18.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €407k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1902 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1068
- Opponent strength
- 1168
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €310k – €631k
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-240 Elo); relative output down 37% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -41% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CB | 22 | 1902 | 70% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 1168 | 1068 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CB | 27 | 2226 | 82% | 5 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.12 | 1198 | 1309 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CB | 12 | 916 | 34% | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 1257 | 1218 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1344 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 165 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksym Zhychykov Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Vladyslav Pryimak Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Mattias Johansson Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Mykyta Bezuglyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Laurens De Bock Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Petro Stasyuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Nikolaos Korovesis Super League 1 · 2021 | 30 | €450k | €250k | fell |
| Semih Kaya Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €900k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | FC Oleksandriya | Without Club | Unknown | €800k |
| 17 Jan 2024 | NK Rudes | FC Oleksandriya | €100k | €150k |
| 9 Aug 2022 | Anadia | NK Rudes | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | BC Branco | Anadia | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Águeda | BC Branco | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Olhanense | Águeda | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sacavenense | Olhanense | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Ol. Bairro | Sacavenense | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Beira-Mar | Ol. Bairro | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Oliveira Frades | Beira-Mar | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Beira-Mar | Oliveira Frades | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Dec 2015 | Gafanha | Beira-Mar | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2015 | Beira-Mar | Gafanha | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Beira-Mar U19 | Beira-Mar | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Beira-Mar S17 | Beira-Mar U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.