Jorge Pombo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jorge Pombo's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.38x the positional average in the league (1969 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 89
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 30.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €143k vs market €275k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1969 (84% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.41
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.55
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 31 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1169
- Opponent strength
- 1228
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €117k – €265k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -43% (IQR -50% to -36%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Kifisias | Super League 1 | AM | 25 | 1969 | 84% | 6 | 3 | 0.41 | 0.55 | 1228 | 1169 | 0.43 |
| 2020/21 | Cádiz CF | Laliga | AM | 12 | 519 | 15% | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.47 | 1531 | 1425 | 1.10 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Kifisias | 5 | 292 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Cádiz CF | 3 | 179 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lasse Fosgaard Superliga · 2020 | 34 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Aziz Behich Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 33 | €550k | €300k | fell |
| Suleiman Omo Super League 1 · 2018 | 33 | €350k | €150k | fell |
| Elini Dimoutsos Super League 1 · 2020 | 32 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| John Rankin Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 33 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Panagiotis Korbos Super League 1 · 2020 | 35 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Valeriy Fedorchuk Premier Liga · 2022 | 34 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Jonas Kamper Superliga · 2017 | 34 | €300k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sept 2024 | Without Club | Kifisia | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | FC Andorra | Without Club | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Feb 2024 | Racing | FC Andorra | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Cádiz CF | Racing | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Real Oviedo | Cádiz CF | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Cádiz CF | Real Oviedo | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 4 Aug 2020 | Real Zaragoza | Cádiz CF | €1.2M | €700k |
| 21 Jul 2020 | Cádiz CF | Real Zaragoza | Free / loan | €550k |
| 2 Jan 2020 | Real Zaragoza | Cádiz CF | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Dep. Aragón | Real Zaragoza | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Zaragoza U19 | Real Zaragoza B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.