Abdu Conté
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Abdu Conté's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.12x the positional average in the league (1429 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 72
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 14.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €432k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1429 (47% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 14 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1293
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €339k – €721k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -39% to -4%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1429 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–151%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Casa Pia AC | Liga Portugal | LM | 22 | 1429 | 47% | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.25 | 1293 | 1225 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | ESTAC Troyes | Ligue 1 | LB | 19 | 1317 | 39% | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 1430 | 1247 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Moreirense FC | Liga Portugal | LB | 16 | 1379 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1368 | 1279 | 0.67 |
| 2021/22 | ESTAC Troyes | Ligue 1 | LB | 17 | 1357 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 1431 | 1332 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Moreirense FC | Liga Portugal | LB | 22 | 1845 | 60% | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1361 | 1346 | 0.61 |
| 2019/20 | Moreirense FC | Liga Portugal | LB | 23 | 1977 | 65% | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 1394 | 1328 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | BSC Young Boys | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1601 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostyn Griffiths Eredivisie · 2016 | 28 | €450k | €500k | flat |
| Maksym Drachenko Premier Liga · 2017 | 27 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Nuno Valente Liga Portugal · 2020 | 29 | €475k | €100k | fell |
| Breitner Liga Portugal · 2016 | 27 | €500k | €475k | flat |
| Konstantinos Mendrinos Super League 1 · 2013 | 28 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Nils Schouterden Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 28 | €900k | €700k | fell |
| Jefferson Liga Portugal · 2022 | 28 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Vasiliy Cherov Premier Liga · 2023 | 27 | €500k | €450k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | Troyes | Casa Pia | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Young Boys | Troyes | Free / loan | €700k |
| 6 Aug 2024 | Troyes | Young Boys | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 12 Jan 2022 | Moreirense | Troyes | €2.7M | €1.5M |
| 22 Jul 2019 | Sporting CP U23 | Moreirense | €1.4M | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sporting B | Sporting CP U23 | Unknown | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Sporting U19 | Sporting B | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Sporting U17 | Sporting U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Sporting Sub-15 | Sporting U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.