Grady Diangana
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Grady Diangana's performance-implied value at EUR 3.1M-4.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.85x the positional average in the league (929 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 87
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 54.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €931k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -25% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 929 (27% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.33
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 54 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1389
- Opponent strength
- 1496
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €796k – €2.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -74% to -43%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 929 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Elche CF | Laliga | RW | 20 | 929 | 27% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.33 | 1496 | 1389 | 0.95 |
| 2020/21 | West Bromwich Albion | Premier League | LW | 20 | 1237 | 36% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.32 | 1578 | 1377 | 1.19 |
| 2018/19 | West Ham United | Premier League | RW | 17 | 605 | 18% | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 1546 | 1553 | 1.22 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Elche CF | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | West Ham United | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Toscano Liga Portugal · 2013 | 28 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Florent Sinama-Pongolle Premier Liga · 2013 | 29 | €1.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Sloan Privat Ligue 1 · 2017 | 28 | €1.5M | €250k | fell |
| Gianluca Sansone Serie A · 2014 | 27 | €2.5M | €1.3M | fell |
| Maor Melikson Ligue 1 · 2013 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Kévin Bérigaud Ligue 1 · 2017 | 29 | €1.5M | €450k | fell |
| Kingsley Schindler Bundesliga · 2020 | 27 | €1.6M | €800k | fell |
| Sven Schipplock Bundesliga · 2016 | 28 | €2.0M | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | West Brom | Elche CF | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 4 Sept 2020 | West Ham | West Brom | €13.5M | €4.5M |
| 31 Jul 2020 | West Brom | West Ham | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 8 Aug 2019 | West Ham | West Brom | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | West Ham U23 | West Ham | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | West Ham U18 | West Ham U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | West Ham Yth. | West Ham U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.