Guido Rodríguez

The model rates Guido Rodríguez's performance-implied value at EUR 3.4M-8.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-4.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.57x the positional average in the league (1485 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1485 (43% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.24

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.21

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

85 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.95 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1499

Opponent strength

1486

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€975k – €2.6M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level down (-84 Elo); relative output up 95% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -68% (IQR -74% to -65%).

• ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1485 league minutes last season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.