Joan Sastre
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Joan Sastre's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 44.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €419k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 498 (21% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 44 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1126
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €317k – €716k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 24 pts; team strength up (+83 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 53% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -47% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 498 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 7 | 498 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1126 | 1461 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 16 | 1066 | 46% | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.11 | 1187 | 1378 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 19 | 1380 | 59% | 1 | 3 | 0.26 | 0.15 | 1238 | 1535 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 19 | 1344 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1263 | 1452 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 9 | 625 | 27% | 2 | 1 | 0.43 | 0.18 | 1194 | 1453 | 0.39 |
| 2021/22 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | RB | 7 | 255 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1631 | 1378 | 1.05 |
| 2019/20 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | RB | 19 | 1360 | 40% | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 1575 | 1415 | 1.16 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 171 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1437 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1334 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | 1392 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 286 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 145 | 0 | 0 | 1518 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1273 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 315 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 470 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1286 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 2 | 130 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Sánchez Super League 1 · 2016 | 30 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Martin Linnes Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| Vasilios Lampropoulos Super League 1 · 2019 | 29 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Laurent Jans Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 29 | €600k | €350k | fell |
| Şener Özbayraklı Super Lig · 2019 | 29 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Alpaslan Öztürk Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €1.1M | €300k | fell |
| Sotirios Papagiannopoulos Superliga · 2019 | 29 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Bruno Godeau Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 29 | €600k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | RCD Mallorca | PAOK | €400k | €1.8M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | PAOK | RCD Mallorca | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 12 Jan 2022 | RCD Mallorca | PAOK | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | RCD Mallorca B | RCD Mallorca | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Mallorca U19 | RCD Mallorca B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.