Konstantinos Apostolakis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Konstantinos Apostolakis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 0.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €45k vs market €125k |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 519 (22% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 0 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1267
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €106k – €241k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -12% to +68%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 519 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | Super League 1 | RB | 11 | 519 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1267 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2022/23 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | RB | 16 | 1063 | 45% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 1273 | 1164 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | RB | 14 | 842 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1243 | 1164 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RB | 6 | 459 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1258 | 1365 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RM | 2 | 151 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1122 | 1306 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 1 | 82 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 2 | 65 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 119 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 228 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Gregor Superliga · 2021 | 27 | €250k | €350k | rose |
| Yegor Klymenchuk Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Michee Efete Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Cebrail Karayel Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €150k | €875k | rose |
| Burak Yılmaz Super Lig · 2024 | 29 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Leonidas Argyropoulos Super League 1 · 2019 | 29 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Mohamadou Sissoko Super League 1 · 2017 | 29 | €150k | €50k | fell |
| Murat Paluli Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €200k | €575k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Without Club | AE Larisa | Unknown | €125k |
| 8 Jul 2024 | FC Sheriff | Without Club | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Panetolikos | FC Sheriff | Free / loan | €350k |
| 17 Aug 2021 | APOEL Nicosia | Panetolikos | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Panathinaikos | APOEL Nicosia | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | PAO U20 | Panathinaikos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.