
Samuel Moutoussamy
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Samuel Moutoussamy's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.09x the positional average in the league (1761 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 69
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 31.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €376k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -41% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1761 (75% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.24
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 32 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1237
- Opponent strength
- 1245
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €447k – €1.0M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output up 77% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -50% to +17%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1761 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | CM | 21 | 1761 | 75% | 3 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 1245 | 1237 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Sivasspor | Super Lig | CM | 30 | 2432 | 75% | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1277 | 1183 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | CM | 26 | 1100 | 36% | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.25 | 1491 | 1309 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | CM | 35 | 2400 | 70% | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 1449 | 1349 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | CM | 30 | 1502 | 44% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 1457 | 1457 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | CM | 14 | 344 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1357 | 1262 | 0.56 |
| 2020/21 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | AM | 1 | 83 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 1436 | 1376 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | CM | 17 | 514 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1452 | 1414 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | CM | 28 | 1679 | 49% | 2 | 3 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 1455 | 1416 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | DM | 7 | 432 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1497 | 1413 | 0.85 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3 | 290 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3 | 244 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 3 | 116 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Nantes | 8 | 531 | 0 | 0 | 1524 |
| 2022/23 | Trophee Des Champions | FC Nantes | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1714 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 1 | 58 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danijel Miskic Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Martín Tonso Super League 1 · 2017 | 28 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Onur Kaya Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 28 | €1.0M | €1.2M | rose |
| Radoslaw Majewski Super League 1 · 2016 | 30 | €600k | €700k | flat |
| Giannis Stathis Super League 1 · 2017 | 30 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Afriyie Acquah Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
| Facundo Bertoglio Super League 1 · 2019 | 29 | €500k | €1.0M | rose |
| Valentin Eysseric Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sept 2025 | Sivasspor | Atromitos | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 22 Aug 2024 | FC Nantes | Sivasspor | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Fortuna Sittard | FC Nantes | Free / loan | €750k |
| 6 Oct 2020 | FC Nantes | Fortuna Sittard | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 6 Sept 2017 | FC Nantes B | FC Nantes | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Olymp. Lyon B | FC Nantes B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Olymp. Lyon U19 | Olymp. Lyon B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Olymp. Lyon U17 | Olymp. Lyon U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Montrouge Jgd | Olymp. Lyon U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | ACBB Youth | Montrouge Jgd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Meudon Jugend | ACBB Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.