Samuel Moutoussamy

30 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM, DM) · DR Congo
APS Atromitos Athinon · Super League 1 · Foot: left · Height: 176 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.2M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€282k – €1.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€449k – €1.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€447k – €1.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€573k – €838k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€282k – €1.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€449k – €1.1M
Projected value (24 months)€447k – €1.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Samuel Moutoussamy's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.09x the positional average in the league (1761 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 69

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average31.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €376k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-41% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1761 (75% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.15
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.24
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
32 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1237
Opponent strength
1245
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€447k – €1.0M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output up 77% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -50% to +17%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1761 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
14 (MID)
Relative output kept
67%–189%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
64%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26APS Atromitos AthinonSuper League 1CM21176175%300.150.24124512370.43
2024/25SivassporSuper LigCM30243275%030.110.13127711830.39
2023/24FC NantesLigue 1CM26110036%110.160.25149113090.87
2022/23FC NantesLigue 1CM35240070%020.070.14144913490.82
2021/22FC NantesLigue 1CM30150244%010.060.14145714570.86
2020/21Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieCM1434411%000.000.20135712620.56
2020/21FC NantesLigue 1AM1832%000.000.39143613760.75
2019/20FC NantesLigue 1CM1751420%000.000.15145214140.82
2018/19FC NantesLigue 1CM28167949%230.270.28145514160.82
2017/18FC NantesLigue 1DM743213%000.000.09149714130.85

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsDemocratic Republic of the Congo329000—
2025/26World CupDemocratic Republic of the Congo324400—
2025/26Kypello ElladasAPS Atromitos Athinon311600—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFC Nantes8531001524
2022/23Trophee Des ChampionsFC Nantes126001714
2020/21Knvb BekerFortuna Sittardia Combinatie15800—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Danijel Miskic
Premier Liga · 2024
31€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Martín Tonso
Super League 1 · 2017
28€1.0M€500kfell
Onur Kaya
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
28€1.0M€1.2Mrose
Radoslaw Majewski
Super League 1 · 2016
30€600k€700kflat
Giannis Stathis
Super League 1 · 2017
30€500k€250kfell
Afriyie Acquah
Super Lig · 2021
29€1.5M€400kfell
Facundo Bertoglio
Super League 1 · 2019
29€500k€1.0Mrose
Valentin Eysseric
Super Lig · 2024
32€1.0M€1.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
12 Sept 2025SivassporAtromitosFree / loan€1.6M
22 Aug 2024FC NantesSivassporFree / loan€3.0M
30 Jun 2021Fortuna SittardFC NantesFree / loan€750k
6 Oct 2020FC NantesFortuna SittardFree / loan€2.2M
6 Sept 2017FC Nantes BFC NantesUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Olymp. Lyon BFC Nantes BFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Olymp. Lyon U19Olymp. Lyon BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Olymp. Lyon U17Olymp. Lyon U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Montrouge JgdOlymp. Lyon U17Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2011ACBB YouthMontrouge JgdFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Meudon JugendACBB YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.