Giannis Bouzoukis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giannis Bouzoukis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.97x the positional average in the league (787 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 7.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €249k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 787 (34% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1234
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €249k – €469k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 38 pts; changed club; league level up (+40 Elo); role change CM -> AM; relative output down 30% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -36% to -11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 787 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | AM | 22 | 787 | 34% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.39 | 1234 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | CM | 24 | 1682 | 72% | 3 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 1275 | 1156 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | AM | 5 | 138 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 1389 | 1147 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | AM | 7 | 399 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1185 | 1170 | 0.37 |
| 2022/23 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | AM | 9 | 97 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 1259 | 1164 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | AM | 4 | 155 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 1342 | 1199 | 0.39 |
| 2021/22 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | AM | 4 | 38 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1153 | 1348 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | AM | 9 | 367 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1238 | 1362 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RM | 23 | 1539 | 66% | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 1317 | 1365 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | AM | 24 | 1972 | 73% | 4 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 1298 | 1306 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | AM | 4 | 36 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 1270 | 1349 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | 5 | 406 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 4 | 173 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 5 | 227 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 196 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandros Kartalis Super League 1 · 2022 | 27 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Paul Cairney Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 27 | €450k | €350k | fell |
| Rogério Martins Super League 1 · 2015 | 31 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Ivan Matyazh Premier Liga · 2015 | 27 | €400k | €500k | rose |
| Oleksiy Polyanskyi Premier Liga · 2015 | 29 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Evripidis Giakos Super League 1 · 2019 | 28 | €450k | €250k | fell |
| Ayo Simon Okosun Superliga · 2022 | 29 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Paul Paton Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 29 | €400k | €400k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Volos NFC | Without Club | Unknown | €450k |
| 13 Aug 2025 | Panetolikos | Volos NFC | Free / loan | €450k |
| 6 Jan 2023 | OFI Crete | Panetolikos | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 Jan 2022 | Panathinaikos | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €800k |
| 24 Aug 2016 | PAO U20 | Panathinaikos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.