Kevin Nisbet

The model rates Kevin Nisbet's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.10x the positional average in the league (1818 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1818 (61% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.49

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.56

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

15 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.31 (rank 26)

Team strength (Elo)

1119

Opponent strength

1201

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€386k – €1.1M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-67 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -23% (IQR -50% to +12%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

12 (ATT)

Relative output kept

75%–114%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

67%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.