Gabriel Jesus
29 yrs · Striker · Brazil
Arsenal FC · Premier League · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Contract: until 30 Jun 2027
No model evaluation for this player. MoneyballAI evaluates players with at least 450 league minutes last season in leagues where match-level player data is available from the current free source (14 European top divisions). Market value and transfer history are still shown below.
Market value
€17.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
—
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
—
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
—
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
—
Model value − acquisition
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Highest recorded: €80.0M
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | ST | 14 | 421 | 12% | 3 | 0 | 0.64 | 0.28 | 1563 | 1876 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | ST | 17 | 603 | 18% | 3 | 0 | 0.45 | 0.24 | 1490 | 1813 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | ST | 27 | 1483 | 43% | 4 | 5 | 0.55 | 0.35 | 1601 | 1794 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | ST | 26 | 2075 | 61% | 11 | 7 | 0.78 | 0.50 | 1549 | 1726 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Manchester City | Premier League | ST | 28 | 1878 | 55% | 8 | 9 | 0.81 | 0.44 | 1569 | 1866 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Manchester City | Premier League | ST | 29 | 2059 | 60% | 9 | 4 | 0.57 | 0.31 | 1551 | 1883 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Manchester City | Premier League | ST | 34 | 2027 | 59% | 14 | 8 | 0.98 | 0.43 | 1551 | 1848 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Manchester City | Premier League | ST | 29 | 1021 | 30% | 7 | 3 | 0.88 | 0.31 | 1479 | 1924 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Manchester City | Premier League | ST | 29 | 1672 | 49% | 13 | 4 | 0.92 | 0.46 | 1523 | 1831 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Manchester City | Premier League | ST | 10 | 651 | 19% | 7 | 4 | 1.52 | 0.58 | 1468 | 1713 | 1.07 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Arsenal FC | 4 | 309 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Arsenal FC | 6 | 156 | 2 | 0 | 1668 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Arsenal FC | 5 | 260 | 0 | 1 | 1629 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Arsenal FC | 1 | 40 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Arsenal FC | 8 | 405 | 4 | 3 | 1627 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Arsenal FC | 6 | 255 | 0 | 1 | 1574 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 8 | 352 | 4 | 1 | 1746 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 4 | 326 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 5 | 435 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 7 | 267 | 2 | 0 | 1623 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 8 | 590 | 6 | 3 | 1657 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 4 | 360 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2019/20 | Community Shield | Manchester City | 1 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1928 |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 6 | 525 | 5 | 3 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 6 | 376 | 4 | 0 | 1621 |
| 2018/19 | Community Shield | Manchester City | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1667 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 9 | 619 | 4 | 1 | 1679 |
| 2016/17 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
No comparables computed for this player.
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2022 | Man City | Arsenal | €52.2M | €50.0M |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Palmeiras | Man City | €32.0M | €16.0M |
| 1 Jan 2015 | Palmeiras U17 | Palmeiras | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.