Guilherme Schettine

31 yrs · Striker · Brazil
Moreirense FC · Liga Portugal · Foot: right · Height: 184 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 Dec 2027
Market value
€1.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€776k – €1.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€526k – €1.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€453k – €1.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.1M – €1.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€776k – €1.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€526k – €1.9M
Projected value (24 months)€453k – €1.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Guilherme Schettine's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.56x the positional average in the league (995 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.

Bargain Index: 24

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage35.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.7 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €943k vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-49% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.58
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
995 (33% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.91
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.79
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
35 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.58 (rank 9)
Team strength (Elo)
1279
Opponent strength
1338
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€453k – €1.3M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; relative output up 54% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -63% to -51%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 995 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
58 (ATT)
Relative output kept
71%–130%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
66%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Moreirense FCLiga PortugalST1599533%910.900.79133812790.58
2024/25Moreirense FCLiga PortugalST30170256%540.480.54134312710.51
2023/24Ural YekaterinburgPremier LigaST24111541%210.240.46135712140.49
2021/22FC VizelaLiga PortugalST28152550%800.470.67137412520.67
2020/21SC BragaLiga PortugalST102157%000.000.29135214930.61
2019/20CD Santa ClaraLiga PortugalST1566422%300.410.50132713210.59
2018/19CD Santa ClaraLiga PortugalST18132643%720.610.69138513140.65

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2023/24Russian CupUral Yekaterinburg737720—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga6130001484

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Junior Fernandes
Super Lig · 2019
31€1.5M€1.1Mfell
Marko Miric
Jupiler Pro League · 2018
31€600k€200kfell
Kasper Kusk
Superliga · 2022
31€700k€300kfell
Halil Akbunar
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
30€2.2M€850kfell
Ermin Zec
Super Lig · 2017
29€1.2M€300kfell
Modou Sougou
Ligue 1 · 2015
31€1.0M€700kfell
Jovan Kostovski
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
29€900k€350kfell
Kuca
Liga Portugal · 2017
28€800k€350kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jan 2026MoreirenseTJ Jinmen Tiger€700k€1.5M
15 Jul 2024UralMoreirenseFree / loan€700k
6 Jul 2023BragaUral€400k€900k
30 Jun 2023GrasshoppersBragaFree / loan€900k
25 Jul 2022BragaGrasshoppersFree / loan€900k
30 Jun 2022VizelaBragaFree / loan€900k
6 Jul 2021BragaVizelaFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2021UD AlmeríaBragaFree / loan€1.0M
1 Feb 2021BragaUD AlmeríaFree / loan€1.5M
3 Aug 2020Santa ClaraBragaFree / loan€800k
1 Jan 2019Dibba FujairahSanta ClaraFree / loan€325k
7 Jul 2018Santa ClaraDibba FujairahFree / loan€325k
30 Jun 2018Al-BatinSanta ClaraFree / loan€325k
12 Jan 2018Santa ClaraAl-BatinFree / loan€100k
1 Jul 2017Atlético-PR BSanta ClaraUnknown€175k
30 Jun 2017Santa ClaraAtlético-PR BFree / loan€175k
31 Jan 2017Atlético-PR BSanta ClaraFree / loanData unavailable
31 Aug 2016PortuguesaAtlético-PR BFree / loanData unavailable
21 Jan 2016Atlético-PR BPortuguesaFree / loanData unavailable
21 Oct 2015GuaratinguetáAtlético-PR BFree / loanData unavailable
22 Jul 2015Atlético-PR BGuaratinguetáFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2013Atlético-PR U20Atlético-PR BUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.