Amine Harit

The model rates Amine Harit's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-3.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-3.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-4.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.89x the positional average in the league (1566 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1566 (51% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.34

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.36

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

48 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.40 (rank 5)

Team strength (Elo)

1357

Opponent strength

1268

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.3M – €4.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 34 pts; changed club; team strength down (-201 Elo); league level down (-197 Elo); role change AM -> LW; relative output down 45% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -50% to -27%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1566 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

53 (ATT)

Relative output kept

79%–133%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

58%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.