Yevgen Zaporozhets
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yevgen Zaporozhets's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.90x the positional average in the league (1608 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 90
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €86k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1608 (60% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1091
- Opponent strength
- 1191
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €122k – €248k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -60% to -23%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1608 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi | Premier Liga | CM | 28 | 1608 | 60% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 1191 | 1091 | 0.25 |
| 2023/24 | Obolon Kyiv | Premier Liga | CM | 4 | 85 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 1393 | 1078 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Ingulets Petrove | Premier Liga | CM | 24 | 2006 | 74% | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 1296 | 1151 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Ingulets Petrove | Premier Liga | CM | 17 | 1510 | 99% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 1338 | 1177 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Ingulets Petrove | Premier Liga | CM | 24 | 2087 | 89% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 1282 | 1212 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Ingulets Petrove | 2 | 64 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Ingulets Petrove | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Bakalorz Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Gabriel Obertan Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| İbrahim Akdağ Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Connor Randall Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €450k | €175k | fell |
| Daan Rienstra Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Alfredo Mejía Super League 1 · 2023 | 33 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Orest Kuzyk Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Andriy Batsula Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €300k | €125k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2024 | Obolon | Epicentr | Free / loan | €250k |
| 9 Jan 2024 | Ingulets | Obolon | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Apr 2014 | Unknown | AF Pyatykhatska | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.