
Regan Charles-Cook
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Regan Charles-Cook's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.80x the positional average in the league (675 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 12.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €185k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 675 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.33
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 12 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1245
- Opponent strength
- 1191
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €224k – €548k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -55% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 675 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 12 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 75%–114%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Motherwell FC | Scottish Premiership | LW | 19 | 675 | 23% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.33 | 1191 | 1245 | 0.31 |
| 2023/24 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 26 | 1335 | 49% | 3 | 2 | 0.34 | 0.53 | 1421 | 1150 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 31 | 2218 | 72% | 6 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.44 | 1308 | 1171 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Ross County FC | Scottish Premiership | LW | 32 | 2638 | 89% | 10 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.54 | 1339 | 1258 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | Ross County FC | Scottish Premiership | LW | 21 | 975 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 1351 | 1178 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Motherwell FC | 1 | 80 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Scottish Fa Cup | Ross County FC | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Matic Super League 1 · 2021 | 30 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| André Felipe Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €750k | €300k | fell |
| Georgios Manalis Super League 1 · 2022 | 28 | €300k | €350k | flat |
| Sadik Bas Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €325k | €150k | fell |
| Geraldo Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €450k | €300k | fell |
| Rangel Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Mykola Kovtalyuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Tunay Torun Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €325k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2025 | KAS Eupen | Motherwell FC | Free / loan | €750k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Ross County | KAS Eupen | Free / loan | €650k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Gillingham | Ross County | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Charlton U23 | Gillingham | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2018 | Woking | Charlton U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 8 Mar 2018 | Charlton U23 | Woking | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 5 Jan 2018 | Woking | Charlton U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2017 | Charlton U23 | Woking | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2017 | Solihull Moors | Charlton U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 3 Feb 2017 | Charlton U23 | Solihull Moors | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Charlton U18 | Charlton U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Arsenal Youth | Charlton U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.