Abdullah Yiğiter

26 yrs · Goalkeeper · Türkiye
Antalyaspor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 189 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€250k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€73k – €243k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€213k – €444k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€195k – €335k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€30k – €371k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€73k – €243k
Model value (performance-implied)€213k – €444k
Projected value (24 months)€195k – €335k
Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Abdullah Yiğiter's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 100

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average2.9th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €98k vs market €250k
Expected appreciationHigh+20% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €400k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1260 (41% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
3 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1139
Opponent strength
1282
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€195k – €335k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 25 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -27% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1260 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
138 (all positions)
Relative output kept
76%–145%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
59%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26AntalyasporSuper LigGK14126041%000.000.00128211390.40
2024/25AntalyasporSuper LigGK654017%000.000.00125311810.39
2021/22HataysporSuper LigGK436011%000.000.00123512520.42

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Antonis Kokkalas
Super League 1 · 2018
26€300k€150kfell
Jack Hamilton
Scottish Premiership · 2019
25€300k€300kflat
Zacharias Kavousakis
Super League 1 · 2015
26€250k€250kflat
Aaron McCarey
Scottish Premiership · 2018
26€175k€175kflat
Konstantinos Theodoropoulos
Super League 1 · 2017
27€300k€250kflat
Tarık Çetin
Super Lig · 2022
25€325k€325kflat
Betim Halimi
Premier Liga · 2021
25€300k€150kfell
Neofytos Michail
Super League 1 · 2019
26€300k€400krose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
28 Jul 2024HataysporAntalyasporFree / loan€200k
30 Jun 2024GMG KastamonuHataysporFree / loan€200k
25 Aug 2023HataysporGMG KastamonuFree / loan€125k
30 Jun 2023C. RizesporHataysporFree / loan€125k
18 Feb 2023HataysporC. RizesporFree / loan€100k
1 Jul 2021Amed SKHatayspor€97k€125k
14 Sept 2020IstanbulsporAmed SKFree / loan€50k
31 Jan 2020FenerbahçeIstanbulsporFree / loan€50k
1 Jul 2019Fenerbahce U21FenerbahçeUnknown€50k
1 Jan 2018Fenerbahce U19Fenerbahce U21Unknown€50k
1 Jul 2017Fenerbahce U17Fenerbahce U19Unknown€50k
24 Aug 2016Amed SKFenerbahce U17Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Amed SK YthAmed SKUnknownData unavailable
12 Sept 2014UnknownD.Bakir BB YthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.