
Abdullah Yiğiter
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Abdullah Yiğiter's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 100
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 2.9th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €98k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1260 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 3 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1139
- Opponent strength
- 1282
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €195k – €335k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 25 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -27% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1260 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 138 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–145%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 59%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | GK | 14 | 1260 | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1282 | 1139 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | GK | 6 | 540 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1253 | 1181 | 0.39 |
| 2021/22 | Hatayspor | Super Lig | GK | 4 | 360 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1235 | 1252 | 0.42 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonis Kokkalas Super League 1 · 2018 | 26 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Jack Hamilton Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 25 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Zacharias Kavousakis Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Aaron McCarey Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 26 | €175k | €175k | flat |
| Konstantinos Theodoropoulos Super League 1 · 2017 | 27 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Tarık Çetin Super Lig · 2022 | 25 | €325k | €325k | flat |
| Betim Halimi Premier Liga · 2021 | 25 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Neofytos Michail Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €300k | €400k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2024 | Hatayspor | Antalyaspor | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | GMG Kastamonu | Hatayspor | Free / loan | €200k |
| 25 Aug 2023 | Hatayspor | GMG Kastamonu | Free / loan | €125k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | C. Rizespor | Hatayspor | Free / loan | €125k |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Hatayspor | C. Rizespor | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Amed SK | Hatayspor | €97k | €125k |
| 14 Sept 2020 | Istanbulspor | Amed SK | Free / loan | €50k |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Fenerbahçe | Istanbulspor | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Fenerbahce U21 | Fenerbahçe | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Fenerbahce U19 | Fenerbahce U21 | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Fenerbahce U17 | Fenerbahce U19 | Unknown | €50k |
| 24 Aug 2016 | Amed SK | Fenerbahce U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Amed SK Yth | Amed SK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 12 Sept 2014 | Unknown | D.Bakir BB Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.