Maxence Prévot
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Maxence Prévot's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 2.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €193k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 562 (21% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.01
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 2 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1329
- Opponent strength
- 1384
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €157k – €318k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -50% to -5%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 562 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 214 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–140%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 7 | 562 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1384 | 1329 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1564 | 1323 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 11 | 990 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1370 | 1302 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1416 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muammer Yıldırım Super Lig · 2019 | 29 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Ali Şaşal Vural Super Lig · 2019 | 29 | €350k | €600k | rose |
| Michael Brouwer Eredivisie · 2021 | 28 | €350k | €550k | rose |
| Benjamin Kirsten Eredivisie · 2016 | 29 | €300k | €175k | fell |
| Spyros Vrontaras Super League 1 · 2013 | 29 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Trigueira Liga Portugal · 2018 | 30 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Benjamin van Leer Eredivisie · 2021 | 29 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Kayacan Erdogan Super Lig · 2016 | 28 | €400k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | OH Leuven | Without Club | Unknown | €300k |
| 13 Aug 2023 | FC Sochaux | OH Leuven | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jan 2016 | FC Sochaux B | FC Sochaux | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Sochaux U19 | FC Sochaux B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | FC Sochaux U17 | FC Sochaux U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Sochaux Jugend | FC Sochaux U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.