Volodymyr Odaryuk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Volodymyr Odaryuk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.23x the positional average in the league (2465 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 13.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €68k vs market €200k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2465 (91% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.26
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 909
- Opponent strength
- 1187
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €91k – €199k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -64% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Poltava | Premier Liga | RW | 30 | 2465 | 91% | 3 | 4 | 0.26 | 0.48 | 1187 | 909 | 0.25 |
| 2023/24 | FC Minaj | Premier Liga | RW | 15 | 866 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1259 | 1128 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Ingulets Petrove | Premier Liga | RW | 24 | 977 | 36% | 3 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.43 | 1271 | 1151 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RW | 16 | 753 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1341 | 1297 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | RW | 3 | 46 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 1240 | 1299 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | RW | 19 | 328 | 17% | 1 | 2 | 0.82 | 0.44 | 1320 | 1407 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | RW | 18 | 1215 | 42% | 2 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 1320 | 1334 | 0.56 |
| 2015/16 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | RW | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 1265 | 1397 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Poltava | 1 | 45 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Girnyk-Sport Gorishni Plavni | 3 | 175 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 3 | 177 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega Super Lig · 2021 | 36 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Leandro Kappel Super Lig · 2022 | 33 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Ruslan Stepanyuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Daniel Candeias Super Lig · 2021 | 33 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Georgios Pamlidis Super League 1 · 2022 | 29 | €300k | €350k | flat |
| Ronnie Schwartz Superliga · 2020 | 31 | €475k | €250k | fell |
| Amadou Bakayoko Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 28 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Anders Jacobsen Superliga · 2023 | 34 | €350k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2024 | FC Minaj | SC Poltava | Free / loan | €300k |
| 13 Jul 2023 | Ingulets | FC Minaj | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | FC Oleksandriya | Ingulets | Free / loan | €300k |
| 20 Jul 2021 | MFC Mykolaiv | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €250k |
| 28 Aug 2020 | Vorskla Poltava | MFC Mykolaiv | Free / loan | €200k |
| 31 Dec 2019 | Girnyk-Sport | Vorskla Poltava | Free / loan | €200k |
| 24 Jul 2019 | Vorskla Poltava | Girnyk-Sport | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Girnyk-Sport | Vorskla Poltava | Free / loan | €250k |
| 14 Feb 2019 | Vorskla Poltava | Girnyk-Sport | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Vorskla II | Vorskla Poltava | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Vorskla U19 | Vorskla II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.