Dmytro Plakhtyr

30 yrs · Defensive midfielder · Ukraine
SC Poltava · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 187 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€250k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€57k – €204k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€196k – €330k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€140k – €253k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€8k – €273k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€57k – €204k
Model value (performance-implied)€196k – €330k
Projected value (24 months)€140k – €253k
Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dmytro Plakhtyr's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 2.14x the positional average in the league (1422 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 92

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average0.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €77k vs market €250k
Expected appreciationLow-16% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €300k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1422 (53% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.19
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.27
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
1 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
909
Opponent strength
1193
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€140k – €253k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -48% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1422 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SC PoltavaPremier LigaDM27142253%210.190.2711939090.25
2015/16Metalurg Zaporizhya (-2016)Premier LigaDM3131%000.000.1413209970.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupSC Poltava12510—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Danny Bejarano
Super League 1 · 2023
29€350k€350kflat
Fatjon Andoni
Super League 1 · 2022
31€300k€200kfell
Sergiy Panasenko
Premier Liga · 2023
31€300k€100kfell
Beka Vachiberadze
Premier Liga · 2024
28€350k€350kflat
Tomás De Vincenti
Super League 1 · 2023
34€250k€200kfell
Andrew Shinnie
Scottish Premiership · 2024
35€150k€50kfell
Artur Avagimyan
Premier Liga · 2024
27€500k€300kfell
Aymen Tahar
Super League 1 · 2021
32€250k€250kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023SkorukSC PoltavaFree / loan€75k
17 Feb 2022MotorSkorukFree / loanData unavailable
2 Aug 2019Tavriya-SkifMotorUnknownData unavailable
3 Jun 2018Unia SolecTavriya-SkifFree / loanData unavailable
1 Mar 2017Metalurg Z.Unia SolecFree / loanData unavailable
13 Jul 2016Oleksandriya IIMetalurg Z.Free / loan€100k
1 Mar 2016Metalurg Z.Oleksandriya IIFree / loan€100k
1 Sept 2015Metalurg Z. IIMetalurg Z.UnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2014Zaporizhya U19Metalurg Z. IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Metalurg Z. U17Zaporizhya U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.