
Dmytro Plakhtyr
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dmytro Plakhtyr's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 2.14x the positional average in the league (1422 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 92
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 0.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €77k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1422 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.27
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 909
- Opponent strength
- 1193
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €140k – €253k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -48% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1422 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Poltava | Premier Liga | DM | 27 | 1422 | 53% | 2 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.27 | 1193 | 909 | 0.25 |
| 2015/16 | Metalurg Zaporizhya (-2016) | Premier Liga | DM | 3 | 13 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1320 | 997 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Poltava | 1 | 25 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Bejarano Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Fatjon Andoni Super League 1 · 2022 | 31 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Sergiy Panasenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 31 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Beka Vachiberadze Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Tomás De Vincenti Super League 1 · 2023 | 34 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Andrew Shinnie Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 35 | €150k | €50k | fell |
| Artur Avagimyan Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Aymen Tahar Super League 1 · 2021 | 32 | €250k | €250k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Skoruk | SC Poltava | Free / loan | €75k |
| 17 Feb 2022 | Motor | Skoruk | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 2 Aug 2019 | Tavriya-Skif | Motor | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 3 Jun 2018 | Unia Solec | Tavriya-Skif | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Mar 2017 | Metalurg Z. | Unia Solec | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 13 Jul 2016 | Oleksandriya II | Metalurg Z. | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Mar 2016 | Metalurg Z. | Oleksandriya II | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Sept 2015 | Metalurg Z. II | Metalurg Z. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Zaporizhya U19 | Metalurg Z. II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Metalurg Z. U17 | Zaporizhya U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.