Beni Baningime
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Beni Baningime's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.58x the positional average in the league (1333 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 65
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 34.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €808k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1333 (45% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 35 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1332
- Opponent strength
- 1211
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €490k – €1.5M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+95 Elo); relative output down 27% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -68% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1333 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 10 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–107%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 80%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | DM | 21 | 1333 | 45% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1211 | 1332 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | DM | 23 | 1748 | 59% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 1247 | 1237 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | DM | 25 | 1796 | 60% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 1267 | 1322 | 0.34 |
| 2021/22 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | DM | 24 | 1999 | 67% | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 1315 | 1355 | 0.50 |
| 2017/18 | Everton FC | Premier League | CM | 8 | 193 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 1576 | 1516 | 1.15 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Heart of Midlothian FC | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Heart of Midlothian FC | 4 | 420 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Heart of Midlothian FC | 4 | 335 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Heart of Midlothian FC | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1484 |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 | 161 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Everton FC | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1510 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinan Kurt Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Vladlen Yurchenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 29 | €900k | €600k | fell |
| Flávio Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €2.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Nenad Krsticic Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €1.5M | €100k | fell |
| Onur Ergün Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Birger Verstraete Super League 1 · 2024 | 30 | €1.8M | €900k | fell |
| Volodymyr Shepelev Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Peter Etebo Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Heart of Midl. | Without Club | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 29 Jul 2021 | Everton | Heart of Midl. | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 31 May 2021 | Derby | Everton | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Everton | Derby | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 31 May 2019 | Wigan | Everton | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 31 Jan 2019 | Everton | Wigan | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Everton U23 | Everton | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Everton U18 | Everton U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Everton Youth | Everton U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.