Roman Neustädter
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Roman Neustädter's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 39.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 38.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €98k vs market €100k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 912 (34% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1348
- Opponent strength
- 1383
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €72k – €101k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 20 pts; relative output down 55% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -10% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 912 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 12 | 912 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1383 | 1348 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 17 | 1441 | 53% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1402 | 1322 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 25 | 2098 | 78% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1387 | 1293 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 28 | 1900 | 62% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 1330 | 1333 | 0.58 |
| 2020/21 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | CB | 16 | 1006 | 37% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 1323 | 1391 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | DM | 20 | 1676 | 62% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 1407 | 1362 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CB | 21 | 1875 | 61% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1371 | 1438 | 0.58 |
| 2017/18 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CB | 32 | 2814 | 92% | 3 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 1365 | 1583 | 0.68 |
| 2016/17 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CB | 18 | 1077 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1343 | 1547 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | CB | 30 | 2391 | 78% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1532 | 1543 | 1.02 |
| 2014/15 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | DM | 29 | 2415 | 79% | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1532 | 1535 | 1.03 |
| 2013/14 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | DM | 32 | 2588 | 85% | 2 | 5 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 1551 | 1622 | 1.03 |
| 2012/13 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | CB | 31 | 2671 | 87% | 3 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 1443 | 1604 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | KVC Westerlo | 6 | 480 | 0 | 0 | 1354 |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 6 | 451 | 1 | 0 | 1492 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 3 | 270 | 2 | 0 | 1353 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 5 | 209 | 0 | 0 | 1579 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1517 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1387 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | 1480 |
| 2015/16 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 687 | 0 | 0 | 1656 |
| 2014/15 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Champions League | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1643 |
| 2013/14 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Schalke 04 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1509 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 675 | 1 | 0 | 1537 |
| 2012/13 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 2 | 157 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vyacheslav Checher Premier Liga · 2018 | 38 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Ricardo Silva Liga Portugal · 2017 | 37 | €100k | €50k | fell |
| César Navas Premier Liga · 2019 | 39 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Karim Belhocine Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 37 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Souleymane Diawara Ligue 1 · 2015 | 37 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Kirill Nababkin Premier Liga · 2024 | 38 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Fedor Kudryashov Super Lig · 2023 | 36 | €150k | €100k | fell |
| Andrey Eshchenko Premier Liga · 2020 | 36 | €50k | €50k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2022 | Without Club | KVC Westerlo | Unknown | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dynamo Moscow | Without Club | Unknown | €800k |
| 9 Aug 2019 | Fenerbahçe | Dinamo Moscow | Free / loan | €1.7M |
| 6 Jul 2016 | FC Schalke 04 | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Mönchengladbach | FC Schalke 04 | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Mainz | Mönchengladbach | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2008 | FSV Mainz 05 II | Mainz | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Mainz 05 U19 | FSV Mainz 05 II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2004 | Mainz 05 U17 | Mainz 05 U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2003 | Mainz 05 Yth. | Mainz 05 U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.