Oleksiy Khakhlyov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Oleksiy Khakhlyov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.72x the positional average in the league (844 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 0th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €194k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 844 (31% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 0 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 909
- Opponent strength
- 1172
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €130k – €384k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -8% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 844 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Poltava | Premier Liga | CM | 14 | 844 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1172 | 909 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 5 | 144 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1352 | 1182 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 7 | 310 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1284 | 1235 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Minaj | Premier Liga | CM | 14 | 1204 | 45% | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 1276 | 1175 | 0.38 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 12 | 225 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1268 | 1406 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FC Minaj | Premier Liga | CM | 15 | 822 | 51% | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 1308 | 1097 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Minaj | Premier Liga | CM | 15 | 622 | 27% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 1340 | 1129 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | CM | 2 | 94 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1284 | 1195 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Poltava | 1 | 45 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Minaj | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Minaj | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmed Alibekov Premier Liga · 2023 | 25 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Kubilay Aktas Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €225k | €150k | fell |
| David Carson Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Tony Gallacher Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Scott Allardice Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Ben Purrington Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Giorgos Papageorgiou Super League 1 · 2022 | 25 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Konstantinos Banousis Super League 1 · 2015 | 27 | €250k | €300k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | SC Poltava | Without Club | Unknown | €300k |
| 10 Jul 2025 | Zorya Lugansk | SC Poltava | Free / loan | €300k |
| 11 Jan 2023 | FC Minaj | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €400k |
| 23 Oct 2020 | Without Club | FC Minaj | Unknown | €50k |
| 21 Jul 2020 | Karpaty | Without Club | Unknown | €50k |
| 27 Jan 2020 | Without Club | Karpaty Lviv | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Oct 2019 | Alavés B | Without Club | Unknown | €50k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | San Ignacio | Alavés B | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Oct 2018 | Alavés B | San Ignacio | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Alavés U19 | Alavés B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 6 Feb 2017 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Alavés U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.