Kenzo Goudmijn

24 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM) · Netherlands
Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 176 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€700k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€195k – €736k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€398k – €831k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€423k – €1.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€337k – €635k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€195k – €736k
Model value (performance-implied)€398k – €831k
Projected value (24 months)€423k – €1.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Kenzo Goudmijn's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.46x the positional average in the league (762 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average11th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €357k vs market €700k
Expected appreciationNeutral-7% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.8M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
762 (25% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.18
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
11 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1245
Opponent strength
1256
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€423k – €1.1M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -47% to +46%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 762 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieAM1676225%000.000.18125612450.43
2023/24Excelsior RotterdamEredivisieCM18157351%020.110.20137911420.48
2023/24AZ AlkmaarEredivisieCM82408%000.000.13142614410.48
2022/23Excelsior RotterdamEredivisieAM34282092%420.190.33136011970.58
2020/21AZ AlkmaarEredivisieCM3140%000.000.14129715570.56
2019/20AZ AlkmaarEredivisieCM140%000.000.11127615420.62
2018/19Excelsior RotterdamEredivisieCM190%000.000.37147812350.61

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueGo Ahead Eagles5286001504
2025/26Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles215710—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingAZ Alkmaar3145001317
2023/24Knvb BekerExcelsior Rotterdam19000—
2023/24Knvb BekerAZ Alkmaar17400—
2022/23Knvb BekerExcelsior Rotterdam218000—
2019/20Knvb BekerAZ Alkmaar12000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Maksim Vityugov
Premier Liga · 2022
24€700k€1.0Mrose
Kader Keita
Super Lig · 2023
23€550k€850krose
Yaw Ackah
Super Lig · 2024
25€550k€300kfell
John Kamara
Super League 1 · 2014
26€400k€350kflat
Frank Boya
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
26€650k€1.0Mrose
Okechukwu Azubuike
Super Lig · 2021
24€1.0M€500kfell
Burak Camoglu
Super Lig · 2021
25€350k€125kfell
Ismaïla N'Diaye
Jupiler Pro League · 2013
25€600k€500kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026Go Ahead EaglesDerbyFree / loan€700k
2 Sept 2025DerbyGo Ahead EaglesFree / loan€1.5M
10 Jul 2024AZ AlkmaarDerby€820k€1.8M
30 Jun 2024ExcelsiorAZ AlkmaarFree / loan€1.8M
11 Jan 2024AZ AlkmaarExcelsiorFree / loan€1.3M
30 Jun 2023ExcelsiorAZ AlkmaarFree / loan€1.3M
7 Jan 2022AZ AlkmaarExcelsiorFree / loan€700k
6 Jan 2022Sparta R.AZ AlkmaarFree / loan€700k
1 Jul 2021AZ AlkmaarSparta R.Free / loan€1.7M
1 Jul 2019AZ U19AZ AlkmaarUnknown€250k
1 Jan 2018AZ U17AZ U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017AZ Alkmaar Yth.AZ U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.