Lasse Nielsen

The model rates Lasse Nielsen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.0M-0.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1690 (85% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.00

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.04

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

9 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.47 (rank 12)

Team strength (Elo)

1098

Opponent strength

1257

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€24k – €107k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 31 pts; changed club; team strength down (-103 Elo); league level up (+42 Elo); role change RM -> CB; relative output down 65% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -29% to +0%).

• ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
• ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1690 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

24 (DEF)

Relative output kept

60%–139%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

71%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.