Olimpiu Moruțan
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Olimpiu Moruțan's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.53x the positional average in the league (559 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €576k vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -35% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 559 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1255
- Opponent strength
- 1170
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €737k – €1.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -48% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 559 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | RW | 13 | 559 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1170 | 1255 | 0.43 |
| 2023/24 | MKE Ankaragücü | Super Lig | RW | 30 | 2130 | 62% | 2 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 1314 | 1218 | 0.45 |
| 2021/22 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | RW | 26 | 1047 | 31% | 3 | 3 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 1256 | 1326 | 0.42 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 2 | 103 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Aris Thessalonikis | 2 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1374 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Galatasaray | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1310 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Galatasaray | 7 | 330 | 0 | 1 | 1507 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FCSB | 2 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 1354 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bersant Celina Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Gilbert Koomson Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €800k | €450k | fell |
| Houssam Ghacha Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Kenan Karaman Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €1.4M | €1.4M | flat |
| Casimir Ninga Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €1.3M | €600k | fell |
| David Moberg Karlsson Super League 1 · 2024 | 30 | €750k | €750k | flat |
| Tony Watt Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 24 | €750k | €400k | fell |
| Blessing Eleke Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 25 | €800k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | Aris Saloniki | FC Rapid 1923 | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 18 Jul 2025 | Ankaragücü | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €2.4M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Pisa | Ankaragücü | Free / loan | €2.4M |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Ankaragücü | Pisa | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 20 Aug 2023 | Galatasaray | Ankaragücü | €3.0M | €4.5M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Pisa | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 4 Aug 2022 | Galatasaray | Pisa | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 25 Aug 2021 | FCSB | Galatasaray | €4.1M | €2.8M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Botosani | FCSB | €1.2M | €900k |
| 31 Aug 2016 | U Cluj | FC Botosani | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | U Cluj U18 | U Cluj | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | U Cluj Youth | U Cluj U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.